深部高应力巷道协同锚固控制效应及参数智能决策模型研究

    Research on the synergistic anchoring control effect and parameter intelligent decision-making model of deep high-stress roadways

    • 摘要: 针对深部煤矿高应力地质环境所引起的巷道围岩变形过大的问题,为克服传统支护中“刚性易断、柔性难控”的核心矛盾,实现支护参数精准匹配与巷道稳定控制,本研究以岳城煤矿和赵庄煤矿为工程背景,采用现场调研、理论分析、FLAC3D数值模拟与机器学习相结合的方法,对协同锚固支护控制效应及支护参数精准智能决策模型进行了研究。构建24种工况数值模拟数据库,对比BP神经网络(BPNN)、支持向量回归(SVR)及随机森林(RF)三种算法,优选构建智能决策模型,提出“局部靶向”优化策略并开展工业试验。研究结果表明,传统单一支护存在显著局限,全长锚固的应力峰值高达693.5 kN,超过了650 kN的破断阈值,极易因应力集中发生脆性破断;加长锚固虽未破断,但其顶底板变形高达1 199.4 mm,致使围岩发生持续流变;协同锚固实现了“刚柔并济”,将两帮及顶底板最大变形量分别有效控制在174.5 mm与845.2 mm,取得了25%~48%的显著降幅,此外将锚索应力稳控在600 kN左右,保留了约50 kN的安全裕度;RF算法具有显著优势,其R2超过0.95,模型的MAPE仅为0.26%,远优于BPNN的3.24%和SVR的2.93%;模型精准识别出峰值701.3 kN的4次破断风险,工业试验中优化方案将锚索最高应力降至592.8 kN,始终低于650 kN破断阈值,实现工作面安全回采。研究为深部高应力巷道提供经济高效的差异化支护方案,推动支护设计向数据驱动范式转型。

       

      Abstract: To address the problem of excessive deformation in roadway surrounding rock caused by the high-stress geological environment of deep coal mines, and to overcome the core contradiction in traditional support—being “rigid but prone to failure, yet flexible and difficult to control”—this study aims to achieve precise matching of support parameters and stable control of roadways. Taking the Yuecheng and Zhaozhuang coal mines as the engineering background, the research investigates the control effect of synergistic anchoring support and an intelligent decision-making model for precise support parameters by combining field investigation, theoretical analysis, FLAC3D numerical simulation, and machine learning. A numerical simulation database comprising 24 working conditions is constructed. By comparing three algorithms—BP Neural Network(BPNN), Support Vector Regression(SVR), and Random Forest(RF)—an intelligent decision-making model is optimized and constructed, a “locally targeted” optimization strategy is proposed, and industrial trials are conducted. The results show that the traditional single support has obvious limitations. The peak stress of full-length anchoring is as high as 693.5 kN, exceeding the 650 kN fracture threshold, and brittle fracture is very likely to occur due to stress concentration. Although extended anchoring does not fracture, the roof and floor deformation reaches 1 199.4 mm, resulting in continuous rheology of the surrounding rock. Synergistic anchoring achieves a combination of rigidity and flexibility, effectively controlling the maximum deformations of the two ribs and the roof-floor at 174.5 mm and 845.2 mm respectively, with a significant reduction of 25% to 48%. In addition, the cable stress is stably controlled at about 600 kN, retaining a safety margin of approximately 50 kN. The RF algorithm demonstrates a significant advantage with an R2 exceeding 0.95 and a MAPE of only 0.26%, far superior to the 3.24% of BPNN and 2.93% of SVR. The model accurately identifies four breakage risks with a peak of 701.3 kN. In industrial trials, the optimized scheme reduces the maximum stress of the anchor cable to 592.8 kN, which remains consistently below the 650 kN breaking threshold, ensuring the safe extraction of the working face. This research provides an economically efficient and differentiated support solution for deep high-stress roadways and promotes the transformation of support design toward a data-driven paradigm.

       

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