石油经济复杂性的初步分析

    Preliminary analysis on the complexity of oil economics

    • 摘要: 本文立足于石油经济的基本特征,分析了石油经济中常用的术语,澄清了人们对术语的错误理解;指出市场参与者众多且利益关系复杂是石油经济复杂性的根本;通过简单回顾石油市场演化历史,客观详细描述了这种复杂性。尽管如此,文章通过考察基本的局限条件对石油价格持续上涨和危机并没有来临给出了解释,最后指出了深入研究石油市场的有效路径。

       

      Abstract: Based on the essential character, the terms used usually in oil economics are clarified due to people's misunderstanding, and the main factor that there are several participants who have different benefits contributed to the complexity of oil economics is pointed out. Moreover, the complexity is described in details by reviewing the history of the evolvement about oil market structure. In spit of the complexity, by investigating the constraints of oil market, the interpretation of the rising oil price and non-crisis is obtained. At last, the available approach to study oil economics deeply is pointed out.

       

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