中国未来碲供需形势分析与对策建议

    Analysis and suggestions of tellurium's supply and demand of China in the future

    • 摘要: 碲是全球稀缺性资源,我国碲资源储量和产量分别占全球的32%和50%,是优势性战略矿产资源。本文在全球碲供需视野下,以我国过去15年历史数据为基础,对碲主要消费领域的前景进行研判,预测未来15年碲需求量,并对未来我国碲资源供需形势进行分析。预测,2030年我国碲需求将达到482t,较2015年将增长80%;2023年前后我国碲将由供大于求转变为供不应求。针对未来供需趋紧的形势,本文提出加大勘查评价力度、提高资源回收效率、加强储备等建议,对保障我国碲资源安全供应有参考意义。

       

      Abstract: Tellurium resources are extremely rare in the world.Tellurium reserve and yield in China accountfor 32% and 50% of the world separately.Thus,tellurium is an important strategic resource.Based onthe supply and demand of the world and the historic data of the past 15 years,this paper makes judgments of the future consumption of telluriumandpredicts the demand of tellurium in next 15years;Furthermore,it analyzes the supply and demand in China.In 2030,demand for tellurium will reach to 482 tons and compared to 2015,it will increase by 80%.Tellurium in China will change from supply more than demand to the opposite situation.Facing the verfull demand situation,it provides some suggestions including increasing the intensity of exploration and evaluation,improving the efficiency of resource,strengthening reserves,which has reference value for the safety oftellurium material supply.

       

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