基于层次分析法的井筒涌水量预测效果评价
投稿时间:2016-11-05  修订日期:2017-04-17  点此下载全文
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作者单位E-mail
徐慧 煤炭科学技术研究院有限公司安全分院 550544407@QQ.com 
牟义 煤炭科学技术研究院有限公司安全分院 my3004@126.com 
基金项目:国家自然科学基金(51404139);国家科技重大专项资助项目(2016ZX05045001-004)
中文摘要:在实际生产中,井筒涌水量预测误差较大,且影响因素较多,因此难以确定产生误差的主要原因。针对这一情况,本文在系统分析了出现各种误差原因的基础上,结合层次分析法,建立了井筒涌水量预测效果评价指标体系。结合山东龙固矿实例,对该矿井筒涌水量预测效果进行了综合评价。结果表明,该评价体系有较好的适用性和准确性,可以用于井筒涌水量预测效果的评价,对矿井排水系统优化设计具有指导意义。
中文关键词:井筒涌水量预测  层次分析法  评价指标体系  效果评价
 
Evaluation of water inflow prediction in wellbore based on analytic hierarchy process
Abstract:In the actual production, the prediction of wellbore water inflow has larger deviation and affected by various factors, so the main cause of deviation is difficult to determine. Aiming at this situation,based on the systematic analysis of the causes of various errors, combined with the analytic hierarchy process, the evaluation index system for the prediction of the water inflow of the wellbore is established. Combined with the case of Longgu Mine in Shandong Province, the predictive effect of water inflow is comprehensively evaluated. The results show that the evaluation system has a good applicability and accuracy. The results show that the evaluation system has a good applicability and accuracy, which can be used to evaluate the effect of wellbore water inflow prediction, which is of guiding significance for mine drainage system optimization design.
keywords:Water inflow prediction in wellbore  Analytic hierarchy process  Evaluating indicator system.  Effect evaluation
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