中国硼矿资源供需趋势分析

    Analysis of the supply and demand tendency of boron resources in China

    • 摘要: 中国硼资源分布高度集中,矿床类型较多,贫矿多,富矿少,经济可利用性较差。中国硼矿资源产品产量总体下降。本文分析了中国硼消费历史与现状,利用“S”形理论预测中国硼消费量,并分析供需形势。中国硼消费可能在2022年达到高峰,峰值时硼需求总量为97万t(B2O3)。资源缺口扩大,对外依存度上升。玻璃行业仍是最大需求部门,农业、核工业和新能源领域对硼的需求会持续增长。最终提出保障中国硼资源安全的建议:加大国内硼矿勘查力度,实现硼锂钾综合利用;加强低品位硼矿(如硼镁铁矿)开发利用和高附加值产品的研究;充分发挥政府和产业联盟主导的顶层设计和决策作用;抓住“一带一路”倡议契机,开发利用国外资源。

       

      Abstract: China’s boron resources are highly concentrated.The type of deposit is rich.There are more low-grade ores than high-grade ores, and the economic availability is poor.The boron resources product’s quantity overall decline.This paper analyzes the history and current situation of boron consumption in China, uses the “S” shape theory to forecast the consumption of boron, and analyzes the supply and demand situation.China’s boron consumption may peak in 2022, with a total boron demand of 970 000 t (B2O3).The resource gap expands, and degree of external dependence is rising.Glass industry is still the biggest demand sector.Demand for boron in the agricultural, nuclear and new energy sectors will continue to grow.Finally, this paper indicated several suggestions to protect the safety of boron resources in China.These suggestions are: increase boron exploration efforts and achieve comprehensive utilization of boron, lithium and potassium; strengthen the development of low-grade boron ore and high value-added products; give full play to the government and industry alliance-led top-level design and decision-making role; seize “the Belt and Road Initiative” opportunity to develop and use foreign resources.

       

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