2018年全球矿业形势分析及未来展望

    Analysis of global mining industry in 2018 and outlook

    • 摘要: 2018年,受中美贸易战、地缘政治风险加剧、全球资本市场动荡等因素影响,全球矿业复苏势头回落,下行趋势明显,国际矿产品价格整体呈现先升后降态势,国际与国内矿产勘查投入依然呈现分化趋势,矿业融资难问题不断加剧。展望未来,全球矿业中长期看好,但不确定性因素和不稳定性因素增加,中美贸易战所形成的“伤害链”传导抑制原材料需求,全球矿业复苏进程将受阻。随着电动汽车的快速发展,锂、钴、镍等电池金属将继续成为热点,但资源回收利用和矿产替代技术的发展将影响其需求结构。“一带一路”倡议的进一步实施,对沿线国家资源需求增长的拉动作用将缓慢释放,为我国参与全球矿业治理提供良好平台。

       

      Abstract: In 2018, the growth momentum of global mining industry eased and showed obvious downward trend due to problems such as the trade war between China and the U.S., the global capital market turmoil.The overall tendency of mineral commodities’ prices in the world market went up earlier in the year but then fell down; the mineral exploration expenditure in China and overseas still showed different trends, and it is more and more difficult to raise funds for mining projects.Looking ahead, the mid to long term prospects of the global mining industry is promising, though uncertainties and unstable factors will increase.The “damage chain” resulting from the Sino-US trade war will curb the demand of raw materials, and the recovery process of global mining industry will be hindered.Along with the rapid development of the electric vehicle manufacturing industry, the demand for metals such as lithium, cobalt and nickel will continue to increase, but the development of materials recycling and substitution technologies will influence the demand structure of the above mentioned metals.The steady implementation of the Belt and Road Initiative will gradually increase the demand for resources of the countries along the routes of the Belt and Road, and provide a good platform for our country to participate in the global mining industry governance.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回