高质量发展视角下我国矿业经济发展影响因素分析

    Analysis on the influencing factors of China’s mining economic development from the perspective of high-quality development

    • 摘要: 高质量发展理念背景下,我国矿业经济的发展是兼顾各方面多要素的均衡发展,各要素既是衡量矿业经济高质量发展的评价指标,也是影响矿业经济发展的重要因素。如何在符合高质量发展理念的框架下抓住矿业经济发展动力,发挥各地区位优势,是促进我国矿业经济发展、保障国家初级产品供给的重要一环。本文从环境、技术、产业、管理4个方面选取影响矿业经济效益的因素,依托2005—2020年31个省级行政单位的面板数据,采用基于随机森林的多重插补法对数据进行补全,从而建立面板固定效应模型和面板向量自回归模型,从静态和动态的角度研究我国矿业经济的影响因素。研究结果表明:产业因素是推动我国矿业经济发展的主要因素,环境因素对矿业经济存在一定的推动作用,管理因素对矿业经济存在一定抑制作用。在全国层面,应当规范市场环境,引进投资,促进矿业企业健康发展,同时深入贯彻“两山”理论,推进绿色矿山建设,促进环境保护与经济发展协同增效。另外,本文根据各地区矿业经济发展主导因素的不同,将31个省级行政单位分为环保反馈型、管理优先型、产业驱动型、技术支撑型4种类型,各地区应当结合自身区位优势发展矿业经济。

       

      Abstract: Under the background of high-quality development concept, China's mining economy needs to take into account all aspects and multiple factors to achieve balanced development.The elements of the evaluation index to measure the high-quality development of mining economy are also important factors which influence the mining economy.Under the framework of high-quality development, grasping the driving force of mining economic development and giving full play to the advantages of various regions is an important link to promote China's mining economic development and ensure the supply of national primary products.Selecting the influencing factors of mining economic development from four aspects:environment, technology, industry and management, taking the panel data of 31 provincial administrative units from 2005 to 2020 as the research object, and using the multiple interpolation method based on random forest to complete the data in this paper.In order to give consideration to static analysis and dynamic analysis, establishing panel fixed effect model and panel vector autoregression model respectively.The research shows that industry is the main factor to promote the development of China's mining economy, environment plays a certain role in promoting it, and management has a certain restraining effect on mining economy.At the national level, should standardize the market environment, introduce investment, and promote the healthy development of mining enterprises.At the same time, should deeply implement the Two Mountains Theory, promote the construction of green mines, and promote the synergy between environmental protection and economic development.In addition, according to the different leading factors of mining economic development, also dividing the research object into four types:environmental protection feedback type, management priority type, industry driven type and technology support type.All regions should develop mining economy in combination with their own regional advantages.

       

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