资源枯竭型城市复合系统协同转型演化机制研究:以黄石市为例

    Study on the evolution mechanism of cooperative transformation of resource-exhausted city composite system: a case of Huangshi City

    • 摘要: 资源枯竭型城市的转型呈现阶段性演进特征,复合系统协同演进是其转型发展向高级阶段演变的基础。为探究资源枯竭型城市的转型内生动力,以典型的资源枯竭型城市黄石市为例,从资源附禀、生态环境、经济发展、社会建设4个维度构建评价指标体系,分别对2001—2010年和2010—2019年2个阶段构建哈肯模型识别黄石市复合系统协同转型发展的驱动参序量,动态分析不同时间阶段内复合系统协同转型的驱动机制。研究结果表明:在2001—2019年期间,黄石市复合系统转型力表现为波动上升趋势,其转型过程分为2001—2010年平稳转型期和2010—2019年加速转型期2个阶段。分阶段复合系统协同过程实证结果表明,黄石市由资源转型驱动模式转变为环境转型驱动模式,进入了更加高效的转型驱动过程。转型发展逐渐脱离传统的资源依赖型向着“社会建设-环境保护”的驱动主导模式转变,步入良性的转型协同状态。随着资源枯竭型城市的发展,其内生转型驱动机制也会随之发生改变,应切实把握住城市转型的关键转型路径,为促进黄石市协同转型发展提供建议。

       

      Abstract: The transformation of resource-exhausted cities shows that the characteristics of stage evolution, and the synergistic evolution of composite system is the basis for its transformation and development to advanced stage evolution.To explore the transformation endogenous dynamics of resource-exhausted cities, an evaluation index system is constructed in four dimensions that resource endowment, ecological environment, economic development and social construction.Taking Huangshi City, a typical resource-exhausted city, as an example.The Harken model is constructed to identify the driving covariates of the synergistic transformation development of the composite system in Huangshi City in two stages of 2001-2010 and 2010-2019, respectively, and dynamically analyze the driving mechanisms of the synergistic transformation of the composite system in different time stages.The results show that during the period of 2001-2019, the composite system transformation force of Huangshi City show a fluctuating upward trend, and its transformation process is divided into two stages.Steady transformation from 2001 to 2010 and accelerated transformation from 2010 to 2019.The empirical results of the phased composite system synergistic process show that Huangshi City changes from the first stage of resource transformation-driven mode to the second stage of environmental transformation-driven mode.into a more efficient transformation-driven process.The transformation development is gradually moving away from the traditional resource-dependent model to the “social construction-environmental protection” driven model, and has entered into a virtuous transformation synergy.With the development of resource-exhausted cities, their endogenous transformation drive mechanism will also change, and the key transformation paths of urban transformation should be grasped to provide suggestions for promoting the synergistic transformation development of Huangshi City.

       

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