基于体积法的宁波地区干热岩资源评价研究

    Evaluation of hot dry rock resources in Ningbo area based on volume method

    • 摘要: 宁波市是能源消费大市,化石能源比重高,低碳城市建设压力大。同时,宁波市位于浙东沿海的华南褶皱系,属莫霍面陡坡带,具有浙江省最高的大地热流背景值,深部干热岩资源潜力相对较大。本文系统梳理了宁波市深部热背景特征,建立了宁波市4~10 km深部温度场模型,在SURFER软件自动化运算的基础上,采用体积法计算出宁波地区10 km以浅温度大于150 ℃的干热岩资源量为2.35×1022 J,折合单位面积干热岩资源量略低于全国平均值,但高于浙江省平均值。按照干热岩资源可开发利用的下限2%计算,宁波市的干热岩资源可开发量相当于2019年全市能源消耗总量的389倍。其中,较为经济的开发深度(4~6 km)干热岩资源约占10.7%,主要分布于慈溪北部地区。本文研究成果可作为今后宁波地区乃至浙江地区进行干热岩勘探开发优先靶区。

       

      Abstract: Ningbo City is a big energy-consuming city with a high proportion of fossil energy, which puts great pressure on the construction of low-carbon cities.At the same time, Ningbo City is located in the South China fold system, in the southeast coast of Zhejiang Province, which belongs to the Moho steep slope belt, with a high background value of terrestrial heat flow, and great relative potential of hot dry rock resources.In this paper, the characteristics of deep thermal background in Ningbo City are systematically sorted out, and the 4-10 km deep temperature field model in Ningbo City is built.Based on the automatic calculation of SURFER software, the volume method is used to calculate that the amount of hot dry rock resources with shallow temperature above 150 ℃ in Ningbo area is 2.35×1022 J, and the amount of hot dry rock resources per unit area in Ningbo is slightly lower than the national average, but higher than the average in Zhejiang Province.According to the lower limit of 2% of the exploitable hot dry rock resources, the exploitable amount of hot dry rock resources in Ningbo City is equivalent to 389 of the total energy consumption in 2019.At present, the hot dry rock resources with economic development depth (4-6 km) account for about 10.7%, mainly distributed in the northern part of Cixi, which can be used as a priority target area for exploration and development of hot dry rocks in Ningbo area and even Zhejiang area in the future.

       

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