基于卫星遥感的盐湖锂矿产能监测方法研究:以Atacama盐湖为例

    Research on the monitoring method of lithium mineral capacity of salt lakes based on satellite remote sensing: a case study of Atacama Salt Lake

    • 摘要: 在全球能源转型的大背景下,新能源汽车和锂电池技术快速发展,从而带动了对锂矿的需求呈指数型增长。全球锂矿资源丰富,但近年来锂矿价格暴涨暴跌,其根本原因是产能不足和产能集中释放,因此,对其开展产能监测是保证供应稳定性的重要保障。全球盐湖卤水型锂资源储量占比近70%,主要集中在南美锂三角地区(包括智利、阿根廷和玻利维亚),近年来,大量中资矿业企业前往该地投资,南美锂三角地区未来有望成为最重要的全球锂矿供应基地。本文以智利Atacama盐湖为例,该地区很适合通过盐田日晒自然蒸发浓缩卤水、富集有利成分,并采用盐田浓缩沉淀法实现盐湖卤水提锂,锂矿提取离不开盐田晾晒,因此,拟通过遥感监测盐田面积对产能进行监测。该研究基于Landsat和Sentinel卫星长时序遥感数据,利用目视解译和支持向量机提取技术,获取1985—2019年长时序的盐田面积遥感监测数据。进一步探究Atacama盐湖的盐田面积与锂矿产能之间的关系,将各年份的盐田面积和产量数据进行线性拟合,提出了盐田面积与锂矿产能转换公式。结果表明,R2=0.91,且有97%以上的数据点均在95%预测带内,两者具有较高的相关性,说明了该方法的有效性。本文研究提出了一套半自动化监测盐湖锂矿产能的方法,为盐湖卤水型锂矿产能监测提供新思路,为更加稳健的新能源转型发展做出贡献。

       

      Abstract: Against the backdrop of global energy transition, the rapid development of new energy vehicles and lithium battery technologies has led to an exponential increase in the demand for lithium ore. Although global lithium resources are abundant, the prices of lithium ore have experienced significant fluctuations in recent years, primarily due to insufficient production capacity and the concentrated release of capacity. Therefore, monitoring production capacity is crucial to ensure supply stability. Nearly 70% of the global lithium resources are found in salt lake brines, predominantly located in the Lithium Triangle Region of South America (including Chile, Argentina, and Bolivia). In recent years, numerous Chinese mining enterprises have invested in this region, making the Lithium Triangle Region of South America a potential key global lithium supply base in the future. This paper focuses on the Atacama Salt Lake in Chile as an example. The region is well-suited for the natural evaporation and concentration of brine through sun exposure in solar ponds, enriching beneficial components, and extracting lithium from salt lake brines using the solar ponds concentration precipitation method. Lithium extraction relies heavily on drying in solar ponds, making it feasible to monitor production capacity by remotely sensing the solar ponds area. This research utilizes long-term Landsat and Sentinel satellite remote sensing data, employing visual interpretation and support vector machine extraction techniques to obtain long-term remote sensing data on solar ponds area from 1985 to 2019. Furthermore, the study explores the relationship between the solar ponds area of the Atacama Salt Lake and lithium capacity. By linearly fitting the annual solar ponds area and yield data, a conversion formula between solar ponds area and lithium production capacity is proposed. The results show a R² value of 0.91, with over 97% of the data points falling within the 95% prediction band, indicating a high correlation between the two and validating the effectiveness of this method. This study presents a semi-automated approach to monitoring lithium production capacity in salt lakes, offering new insights for monitoring lithium production capacity in salt lake brine-type lithium resources and contributing to a more robust development of the new energy transition.

       

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