基于FAHP-TOPSIS模型的煤层底板突水危险性评价

    Risk assessment of water inrush from coal seam floor based on the FAHP-TOPSIS model

    • 摘要: 底板水害事故严重威胁着矿井的安全开采,随着采深不断增加,煤层底板突水危险性日益增大,传统突水危险性评价方法的评价指标大多仅考虑含水层性能、地质条件、隔水层性能及煤层条件,并未考虑煤层底板隔水层的阻水性能,评价指标不够全面,评价结果与实际情况存在出入。以内蒙古自治区鄂尔多斯东某矿为研究对象,将煤层底板隔水层阻水性能纳入评价指标,综合考虑10个评价指标作为决策层,建立适用于该矿的底板突水危险性评价指标体系。运用FAHP模型构建模糊矩阵,确定各项指标的主观权重值,再代入TOPSIS模型生成每个指标的正负理想解和相对贴近度,作为突水危险系数进行排序,确定安全区、较安全区、一般安全区、一般危险区、较危险区、危险区6个等级区间;利用GIS的空间和信息处理系统完成结果信息展示,将评价结果与实际生产情况对比,发现评价结果符合实际生产情况。本文研究证明该评价体系及模型有效,为同一地质背景其他矿区底板突水危险性评价提供新视野,将隔水层阻水性能纳入评价指标中为煤矿防治水工作者提供新思路。

       

      Abstract: Water inrush from floor damage accident is a serious threat to the safe mining of the mine. With the continuous increase of mining depth, the risk of water inrush from coal seam floor is increasing. The evaluation indexes of traditional water inrush risk evaluation methods mostly only consider the performance of the aquifer, geological conditions, waterproof layer, and coal seam conditions, without considering the water-blocking performance of the waterproof layer of coal seam floor. The evaluation indexes are not comprehensive enough, and there are discrepancies between the evaluation results and the actual situation. This paper takes a mine in Erdos East, Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region as the research object, incorporates the water-blocking performance of waterproof layer of coal seam floor water barrier into the evaluation indexes, and comprehensively considers 10 evaluation indexes as the decision-making layer to establish the evaluation index system of the danger of floor water breakout applicable to the mine. The fuzzy matrix is constructed by using FAHP model to determine the subjective weight value of each index, and then substituted into TOPSIS model to generate the positive and negative ideal solution and relative closeness of each index, which is ranked as the water-surge hazard coefficient, and six grade intervals are determined as safe area, safer area, general safe area, general hazardous area, more hazardous area, and hazardous area. GIS spatial and information processing system is utilized to complete the information display of the results, comparing the evaluation results with the actual production situation, found that the evaluation results are in line with the actual production situation. The research has proven that the evaluation system and model are effective, providing a new perspective for the risk assessment of water inrush from floor of other mining areas with the same geological background, and incorporating the water-blocking performance of the waterproof layer into the evaluation indicators, providing new ideas for coal mine water prevention and control workers.

       

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