基于AHP-CRITIC奥灰突水危险性评价的工作面水害分区防控

    Zoning prevention and control of water disaster in working face based on the AHP-CRITIC model for water inrush risk evaluation from Ordovician

    • 摘要: 由于单一赋权法具有一定偏向性,难以兼顾生产实践经验和指标参数内在关联特征,容易导致评价结果失真。针对这一问题,首先,分析了底板奥灰突水影响因素及各因素作用机制,确定了影响奥灰突水的主控因素。其次,通过AHP和CRITIC分别确定了各主控因素的主观权重、客观权重,构建了基于最小信息熵法的AHP-CRITIC突水危险性综合分区评价模型,利用GIS信息融合技术得到了矿井奥灰突水危险性分区评价结果。最后,基于分区评价结果和物探成果制定了工作面水害分区防控方案,将工作面划分为重点探查区、次重点探查区和一般探查区,分别采用长距离定向钻和常规钻对不同区段开展探查治理和补充、验证工作。结果表明,危险区内探查钻孔出水点数量、出水量和注浆量均相对较多,次重点探查区次之,一般探查区最少,钻孔出水点的数量和平面分布位置与模型分区结果具有较好的对应关系,验证了评价模型的准确性。为类似条件下奥灰水害分区评价及防治提供了方法借鉴。

       

      Abstract: As the single assignment method has a certain bias, it is difficult to take into account the experience of production practice and the intrinsic correlation characteristics of the index parameters, which easily leads to the distortion of the evaluation results. To address this problem, firstly, it analyzes the influencing factors of the water inrush from Ordovician on the bottom plate and the mechanism of each factor and determines the main controlling factors affecting the water inrush from Ordovician. Secondly, the main and objective weights of the main control factors are determined by AHP and CRITIC, and the AHP-CRITIC comprehensive zoning evaluation model of water inrush risk based on the minimum information entropy method is constructed, and the results of the zoning evaluation of the water inrush from Ordovician of the mines are obtained by using the GIS information fusion technology. Finally, based on the zoning evaluation results and the physical exploration results, a water disaster zoning prevention and control program is formulated for the working face, and the working face is divided into a key exploration area, a secondary key exploration area, and a general exploration area, and long-distance directional drilling and conventional drilling are used to carry out exploration and management and supplemental and validation work for different zones, respectively. The results show that the number of water outflow points of the exploratory boreholes, the amount of water outflow from individual boreholes, and the amount of grouting in individual boreholes are relatively high in the hazardous zone, followed by the second key exploratory zone and the least in the general exploratory zone, and the number of water outflow points of the boreholes and their planar distribution locations have a better correspondence with the results of the model partitioning, which verifies the accuracy of the evaluation model. It provides a method for the zoning evaluation and prevention of water inrush from Ordovician under similar conditions.

       

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