油气勘查出让区块价值评估方法研究

    Research on the valuation method of oil and gas exploration transfer blocks

    • 摘要: 近年来,我国持续深化油气矿产资源管理改革,全面推行油气矿业权竞争性出让政策,矿业权出让市场竞价激烈,石油公司竞得矿业权面临挑战。面对新政策新形势,如何在较短期内高效、科学评估出让区块价值,为矿业权竞标决策赢得主动,是当前需要研究的重要课题。本文探索建立一种快速高效、科学合理的矿业权地质评价和价值评估方法流程,研究提出了基于勘查程度、成藏条件、资源规模和技术经济条件等4大要素,15项关键评价参数的定量与定性相结合的勘探潜力评价方法,建立了基于风险概率统计分析方法的区块地质风险评价标准;分析不同价值评估方法,优选适用于当前低勘探程度出让区块的预期货币价值法开展价值评估;并应用实例进行分析,为油气企业实现出让区块地质评价和价值评估,制定竞价方案提供参考依据。

       

      Abstract: In recent years, China has continued to deepen the reform of oil and gas mineral resources management, and comprehensively implemented the policy of competitive bidding for oil and gas mineral rights, which has resulted in fierce bidding in the market and challenges for oil companies in bidding for mineral rights. In the face of the new policy and new situation, how to efficiently and scientifically assess the value of the blocks offered in a short period of time, and win the initiative for the decision-making of bidding for the mineral rights, is an important issue that needs to be studied at present. This paper explores the establishment of a fast, efficient, scientific and reasonable process of geological evaluation and value assessment of mineral rights, puts forward a quantitative and qualitative exploration potential evaluation method based on four major elements, such as the degree of exploration, formation and storage conditions, the scale of resources and technical and economic conditions, and 15 key evaluation parameters, and establishes the evaluation standard for geological risk of blocks based on the probabilistic statistical analysis of the risk; analyzes the different value assessment methods, and selects the most suitable method for the current situation. It analyzes different value assessment methods and selects the expected monetary value method applicable to the current low exploration level of the blocks to be transferred to carry out the value assessment; and analyzes the application examples to provide reference basis for the oil and gas enterprises to realize the geological evaluation and value assessment of the blocks to be transferred to them, and to formulate the bidding scheme.

       

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