基于多特征和XGBoost算法的煤矿瓦斯浓度预测

    Incorporating multi-features and XGBoost algorithm for gas concentration prediction

    • 摘要: 煤矿瓦斯事故的发生与瓦斯浓度变化密切相关,准确预测瓦斯浓度变化对于预防瓦斯事故具有重要意义。虽然研究人员对煤矿瓦斯浓度预测进行了广泛的研究,但由于煤矿井下瓦斯浓度变化受多种复杂因素影响,表现出不稳定性和非线性,给预测带来很大困难。近年来,基于深度学习的预测算法由于其良好性能而逐渐得到关注,一方面,随着数据量的增加,基于深度学习的预测方法需要更多训练时间,易导致过拟合现象的发生。另一方面,现有大多数深度学习模型通常只考虑历史瓦斯浓度,输入特征过于单一。为了解决上述问题,本文提出了一种基于多特征和XGBoost算法的瓦斯浓度预测模型,该模型可以同时将历史瓦斯浓度、温度、风速等特征作为模型的输入,并依据XGBoost模型内置的梯度提升算法和决策树提升模型的训练速度。实验结果显示,本文所提出的预测方法比现有深度学习模型的瓦斯浓度预测误差更小,训练速度更快。

       

      Abstract: Gas concentration accidents occur frequently under the coal mining scenario. Therefore, predicting gas concentration is of great significance for preventing accidents. Although previous studies have conducted extensive work on gas concentration prediction, the gas concentration is affected by a variety of complex factors under the coal mining scenario, showing instability and nonlinearity, and bringing limitations for accurate prediction. Recently, researchers have pay attention to deep learning methods due to their good performance. However, existing methods require more training time as the amount of data increases. Moreover, most of them only considered historical gas concentrations as the single input. To solve the above problems, the paper proposes a multi-features and XGBoost algorithm gas concentration prediction model. This model can simultaneously incorporate multi-features, including historical gas concentration values, temperature, wind speed, and other characteristics as the input, while the inner gradient boosting algorithm and decision tree can improve the training speed of the model. Extensive experiments proving that our method can achieve better performance and faster speeds than existing advanced neural network models.

       

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