高位定向长钻孔立体空间参数智能化预测方法

    Intelligent prediction method for three-dimensional spatial parameters of high-level directional long boreholes

    • 摘要: 高瓦斯矿井中采用“以孔代巷”工艺技术治理采空区上隅角瓦斯的重要性日益凸显,该技术通过精确控制钻孔的立体空间参数,有效提升了瓦斯抽采效率和安全性。传统的钻孔设计多依赖于理论计算、模拟分析及经验判断,这些方法无法充分考虑到矿井实际工况的复杂多变性,在实际操作中可能存在一定局限性。随着矿山开采技术向智能化、数字化方向深入发展,通过整合现代信息技术和传统矿业工程技术,开发出新型的智能预测模型成为提升钻孔设计精确度的关键。本研究提出了一种基于改进灰度关联度分析的BA-BP神经网络预测模型,旨在优化高位定向钻孔的立体空间参数设计。该模型考虑多个关键影响因素,包括采高、推进速度、上覆岩层的单轴抗压强度、硬岩岩性比例系数、倾角、采空区斜长及埋深等,通过这些参数的综合分析,模型能够更精确地预测最优钻孔参数。在模型建立过程中,首先利用灰度关联度分析对各影响因子与钻孔效果之间的相关性进行量化评估,筛选出主要影响因素,采用蝙蝠算法(BA)优化BP神经网络的权重和偏置参数,以提高预测的准确性和迭代速率。通过对比分析训练样本集与预测样本集的结果,验证了模型的有效性和可靠性。实验结果表明,该模型的预测精度高,平均误差控制在4%以内,迭代速率快,与实际钻孔数据的吻合度高。该模型的应用不仅可以实现瓦斯钻孔设计的智能化和精准化,还能显著提高煤矿安全生产水平和瓦斯抽采效率,具有较好的推广应用前景。

       

      Abstract: The importance of using the “hole instead of lane” technology to control the gas in the upper corner of the mining area in high-gas mines is becoming more and more important, and this technology can effectively improve the efficiency and safety of gas extraction by precisely controlling the three-dimensional spatial parameters of the drilling holes. Traditional drill hole design relies on theoretical calculations, simulation analysis and empirical judgement, which cannot fully take into account the complexity and variability of the actual working conditions in the mine, and may have certain limitations in actual operation. With the deep development of mining technology towards intelligence and digitalization, the development of a new type of intelligent prediction model through the integration of modern information technology and traditional mining engineering technology has become the key to improve the accuracy of drill hole design. In this study, a BA-BP neural network prediction model based on improved grey-scale correlation analysis is proposed, aiming to optimize the design of three-dimensional spatial parameters for high-level directional drill holes. The model considers several key influencing factors, including mining height, advancement speed of the mining face, uniaxial compressive strength of the overlying rock layer, hard rock lithology scale factor, inclination angle, slant length of the extraction zone and burial depth, etc. Through the comprehensive analysis of these parameters, the model is able to more accurately predict the optimal drilling parameters. In the process of model establishment, the correlation between each influencing factor and drilling effect is first quantitatively evaluated using grey-scale correlation analysis, the main influencing factors are screened out, and the bat algorithm (BA) is used to optimize the weights and bias parameters of the BP neural network, in order to improve the accuracy of prediction and the iteration rate. The effectiveness and reliability of the model are verified by comparing and analyzing the results of the training sample set and the prediction sample set. The experimental results show that the model has high prediction accuracy, with the average error controlled within 4%, fast iteration rate, and high agreement with the actual drilling data. The application of the model can not only realize the intelligence and precision of gas drilling design, but also significantly improve the level of coal mine safety production and gas extraction efficiency, which has a good prospect of popularization and application.

       

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