中非铜钴带矿产资源定量预测与项目评价

    Quantitative mineral resources prediction and projects evaluation of Central Africa copper-cobalt belt

    • 摘要: 矿产资源定量预测评价经过几十年的蓬勃发展,在数据驱动和知识驱动两个方向取得了重大进展,为我国矿产勘查规划与找矿突破提供技术支撑。在当今百年未有之大变局背景下,海外矿产资源是我国主要矿产品供应来源,为保障矿产资源供应链安全,开展全球区域矿产资源预测评价势在必行。但传统的定量预测方法着重评价地质资源潜力,而缺乏对开发条件的综合评价,难以适应复杂的海外勘探开发实践。以中非铜钴成矿带为例,基于GIS、RS对中非铜钴成矿带的地层、构造、物探、遥感等多元成矿信息进行综合分析,利用证据权重法进行区域矿产资源定量预测,并在该预测结果基础上,新增外部建设条件信息评价。采用TOPSIS法将区域矿产资源定量预测结果与外部建设条件评价结果融合,用对已有矿业权项目的综合评价代替传统资源评价的靶区圈定,综合评价了中非铜钴带的勘探项目,对284项探矿矿业权进行分级。该研究为中资企业开展海外投资收并购提供参考,也为矿产资源定量预测评价提供了新的思路。

       

      Abstract: After decades of vigorous development, the field of quantitative mineral resource prediction and evaluation has advanced significantly, driven by both data-driven and knowledge-driven approaches, providing essential technical support for China’s mineral exploration planning and discoveries. In the current era of unprecedented change, securing overseas mineral resources is crucial for ensuring the stability of China’s mineral supply chain. However, traditional quantitative prediction methods, while effective in assessing geological potential, often fail to account for the complexities of development conditions, particularly in overseas settings. This paper addresses this gap by conducting a comprehensive analysis of the stratigraphy, tectonics, and physical exploration data of Central Africa copper-cobalt belt, employing GIS and RS technologies. The weight-of-evidence method is utilized for quantitative mineral resource prediction, which is then integrated with infrastructure evaluation metrics such as water, electricity, and road access using the TOPSIS method. This integrated approach allows for a more holistic assessment of exploration projects, culminating in the grading of 284 prospecting mining rights in the region. The findings not only offer valuable insights for Chinese enterprises engaging in overseas investments and mergers and acquisitions but also contribute to the evolution of quantitative prediction and evaluation in the field of mineral resources.

       

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