Abstract: The surface movement deformation is a complex time and spatial process caused by coal mining, which is a key problem to be solved in mining subsidence. In this paper, the time parameter is introduced into the dynamic prediction of surface movement and deformation, then the Weibull time function model of the surface dynamic prediction and its applicability to describe the law of the surface movement and deformation are analyzed. On this basis, combined with Weibull Distribution method and Weibull time function, a prediction model of surface dynamic movement and deformation is established, and a case study is carried out. The results show that parameters n and k are important parameters of the function model and are sensitive to describing the dynamic movement and deformation of the surface. The relative errors of the calculated the surface subsidence values are all within 7.0% by using the prediction model of dynamic surface movement and deformation proposed in this paper, and the predicted results are in good agreement with the measured results. It shows that the prediction model proposed in this paper has certain reliability and practicability, and which can provide reference for the dynamic prediction and prediction of the surface movement and deformation in mining area.