中美稀土发展形势与贸易竞争研究

    Research on rare earth development situation and trade competition between China and the United States

    • 摘要: 以稀土为代表的战略性矿产资源,已成为新一轮科技革命和产业变革中美战略性新兴产业发展不可或缺的关键原材料。为全方位洞察中美稀土产业链全景,本文利用2014—2022年联合国商品贸易数据库中的稀土产品相关贸易数据,从稀土资源储量、产量、技术和市场等视角,系统梳理中美两国稀土发展形势,并进一步采用市场集中度、贸易竞争性和贸易互补性指数,研判中美两国稀土贸易关系、竞争态势和合作潜力。研究结果表明:①中国稀土资源存在显著的轻重比例结构性失衡,稀土生产增速虽有所放缓,但产量却远超于美国,主导全球稀土产量格局并未发生根本性改变;中国凭借资源禀赋和冶炼分离加工技术优势,在稀土产业链的上中游环节规模优势突出,但下游环节科技创新应用领域相较于美国略显不足。②中美两国稀土贸易模式分化发展,均面临市场集中度较高的风险。其中,中国稀土贸易形成“进口原材料,出口功能材料”模式,而美国则主要聚焦于稀土功能材料。③中国稀土产品平均竞争性和互补性均高于美国,两国在稀土产业链上的竞争产品和互补产品差异显著。为抢占稀土博弈主导权,中国应从强化重稀土资源勘查力度,加大重点领域研发投入,提升自主创新能力水平;加速稀土资源全球布局,健全多元稀土贸易体系;巩固稀土产品竞争优势,拓宽对美贸易合作空间等领域采取举措,保障稀土产业持续健康发展。

       

      Abstract: The strategic mineral resources represented by rare earth have become the key raw materials indispensable for the development of strategic emerging industries in China and the United States in the new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial transformation. In order to gain a comprehensive insight into the Sino-American rare earth industry chain, this paper systematically reviews the development situation of rare earth in China and the United States from the perspectives of rare earth resource reserves, production, technology and market by using trade data related to rare earth products from the United Nations Commodity Trade Database from 2014 to 2022, and further adopts market concentration, trade competitiveness and trade complementarity indices. To study and determine the rare earth trade relations, competitive situation and cooperation potential between China and the United States. The results show that: ① there is a significant structural imbalance in the proportion of rare earth resources in China. Although the growth rate of rare earth production has slowed down, the output is far higher than that of the United States, and the pattern of global rare earth production has not changed fundamentally. With its resource endowment and advantages in smelting, separation and processing technology, China’s rare earth industry chain has a prominent scale advantage in the upper and middle reaches, but the application field of scientific and technological innovation in the downstream links is slightly less than that of the United States. ② China and the United States are facing the risk of high market concentration due to the differentiated development of rare earth trade patterns. Among them, China’s rare earth trade forms a “import raw materials, export functional materials” model, while the United States is mainly focused on rare earth functional materials. ③ The average competitiveness and complementarity of China’s rare earth products are higher than that of the United States, and the competition and complementary products of the two countries in the rare earth industry chain are significantly different. In order to seize the leading position in the rare earth game, China should strengthen the exploration of heavy rare earth resources, increase investment in research and development in key areas, and enhance the level of independent innovation capability. Accelerate the global distribution of rare earth resources, and improve the trading system of multi-element rare earth. It will consolidate the competitive advantages of rare earth products, take measures to expand the space for trade cooperation with the United States and other fields, and ensure the sustained and healthy development of the rare earth industry.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回