CCUS-EOR产业的发展现状、经济效益与未来展望

    Development status, economic benefits and future prospects of CCUS-EOR industry

    • 摘要: 碳捕集、利用与封存(CCUS)技术是应对气候变化、实现碳中和目标的重要手段之一。其中,CO2捕集强化原油开采(CCUS-EOR)作为CCUS技术的核心应用形式,兼具减少碳排放和提升油田采收率的双重效益。基于国内外典型CCUS-EOR项目案例,结合前沿文献,围绕CCUS-EOR产业的特点、现状与未来发展方向进行了系统分析。重点探讨了CO2驱油机制、核心环节及应用现状,并介绍了国内外案例的最新进展及其取得的成效。结合中国“双碳”政策要求,进一步评估了政策支持对CCUS-EOR技术发展的促进作用。研究结果表明,在经济效益方面,CCUS-EOR项目的成本主要集中于CO2捕集和运输环节,而其效益则与增油量、油价及碳交易价格密切相关。通过分析国内外典型工程案例,总结了各项目在技术应用、经济回报及政策支持方面的成功经验。目前,国内CCUS-EOR的推广潜力巨大,面临的主要瓶颈是产业化基础设施不足和政策激励缺失。未来,随着碳市场的逐步完善、技术创新的持续推进、政策激励力度的加大,CCUS-EOR将拥有广阔的应用前景,有望成为推动全球碳减排与能源安全的重要支柱。通过政策支持、技术研发与基础设施建设的联动发展,中国有望弥补在技术成熟度与大规模应用上的差距,进一步提升CCUS-EOR的经济效益与推广可行性。

       

      Abstract: Carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS) technology is one of the most important means to combat climate change and achieve the goal of carbon neutrality. Among them, carbon dioxide captures with enhanced oil recovery (CCUS-EOR), as a core application form of CCUS, has the dual benefits of reducing carbon emissions and enhancing oilfield recovery. Based on typical CCUS-EOR project cases at home and abroad, combined with cutting-edge literature, this paper systematically analyzes the characteristics, current status and future development direction of the CCUS-EOR industry. It focuses on the mechanism of CO2 oil drive, the core link and the current status of its application, and introduces in detail the latest progress of domestic and foreign cases and their achieved results. Combined with the requirements of China’s “dual-carbon” policy, this paper further evaluates the role of policy support in promoting the development of CCUS-EOR technology. The results show that in terms of economic benefits, the costs of CCUS-EOR projects are mainly concentrated in CO2 capture and transportation, while the benefits are closely related to the increase in oil volume, oil price and carbon trading price. By analyzing typical project cases at home and abroad, the successful experiences of each project in terms of technology application, economic returns and policy support are summarized. Currently, the potential for the promotion of CCUS-EOR in China is enormous. The main bottlenecks it faces are the insufficient industrial infrastructure and the lack of policy incentives. In the future, with the gradual improvement of the carbon market, the continuous advancement of technological innovation, and the increased strength of policy incentives, CCUS-EOR will have a broad application prospect and is expected to become an important pillar for promoting global carbon reduction and energy security. Through the integrated development of policy support, technological research and development, and infrastructure construction, China is expected to bridge the gap in technological maturity and large-scale application, and further enhance the economic benefits and promotion feasibility of CCUS-EOR.

       

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