产业链视角下全球锑产品贸易演化及竞争力分析

    Assessing the evolution and competitiveness of global antimony products trade from the perspective of industry chain

    • 摘要: 锑作为战略性矿产资源,广泛应用于传统工业和战略性新兴产业,对支撑高技术产业发展有重要意义。为了探究锑产业链各环节产品贸易演化特征和竞争优势,本文选取2011—2020年锑产业链各阶段典型产品的贸易数据,使用贸易额和产业集中度指数,揭示了全球锑产品贸易的演化趋势,并从寡占优势、贸易竞争力、贸易渠道结构特征三方面评估了中国与典型国家在全球锑产业链上的竞争力。研究结果表明:①全球锑贸易规模在波动中下降,锑氧化物和铅锑合金成为全球锑资源贸易的主要形式,硫化锑在锑产品贸易中的地位下降明显。②全球锑市场的竞争格局呈现出寡占现象,其中部分国家凭借资源禀赋或市场优势对全球锑产品贸易产生深远影响。③产业链各环节的寡占成员名单差异较大,锑矿石及精矿、未锻轧锑、硫化锑、锑氧化物四类典型产品的出口寡占国家前列排名较稳定。④中国锑矿石及精矿和铅锑合金的贸易竞争力远远落后于其余国家。中国在硫化锑出口比重和贸易竞争方面优势较小,低于三个典型国家,但是具有渠道多元化的优势。但是,中国在未锻轧锑和锑氧化物出口贸易中占据寡占优势和比较优势,出口结构多元化,值得注意的是,中国在锑氧化物贸易中的竞争优势正在不断下降。在此基础上,提出加强锑资源的地质勘探工作、优化锑产品的出口结构及拓展新的出口市场等建议。

       

      Abstract: Antimony, as a strategic mineral resource, is extensively utilized in both traditional industries and strategic emerging industries, playing a crucial role in supporting high-tech industrial development. To investigate the evolution and competitive advantages of trade in various segments of the antimony resource industry chain, this paper selects trade data for key products at different stages of the antimony industry chain from 2011 to 2020. By analyzing trade value and industry concentration index, the study examines the evolution trends of global antimony products trade and evaluates the competitive positions of China and selected countries along the global antimony industry chain from three perspectives: oligopoly advantage, trade competitiveness, and trade channel structure. The research results indicate that: ① the scale of global antimony trade is fluctuating and declining, with antimony oxides and lead antimony alloys becoming the main forms of global antimony resource trade, and the position of antimony sulfide in antimony products trade is significantly declining. ② The competitive landscape of the global antimony market presents a phenomenon of oligopoly, with some countries having a profound impact on global antimony products trade based on their resource endowments or market advantages. ③ The list of oligopolistic members in each link of the industry chain varies greatly, and the top ranking of export oligopolistic countries for four typical products, namely antimony ore and concentrate, unprocessed antimony, antimony sulfide, and antimony oxide, is relatively stable. ④ The trade competitiveness of Chinese antimony ore and concentrates, as well as lead antimony alloys, lags far behind other countries. China has a relatively small advantage in the proportion of antimony sulfide exports and trade competition, lower than the three typical countries, but it has the advantage of diversified channels. However, China has a dominant and comparative advantage in the export trade of unprocessed antimony and antimony oxide, with a diversified export structure. It is worth noting that China’s competitive advantage in antimony oxide trade is continuously declining. On this basis, some policy recommendations are proposed to strengthen geological exploration of antimony resources, optimize the export structure of antimony products, and expand new export markets.

       

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