产业链视角下全球锑资源流动格局演化分析:基于多层网络方法

    Mapping the evolution of global antimony resources flow pattern from the perspective of industry chain: based on multi-layer network method

    • 摘要: 锑是备受瞩目的关键金属,被冠以“工业味精”“光伏金属”“战争金属”等称号。近年来,中国锑矿产量持续下降,全球光伏行业锑需求量显著增加。在此背景下,刻画全球锑资源流动格局演变过程,对于我国准确把握全球锑资源供需形势,进而制定针对性政策提高我国锑产业链国际竞争力具有重要意义。本文基于复杂网络方法,构建了全球锑资源流动多层网络模型,分析了2003—2023年全球锑资源流动格局的时空演变特征。研究结果表明:①再生锑在全球锑资源供应中地位上升,占比由2003年的12%上升至2023年的33%;②中国是全球最大的锑原材料出口国,锑原材料累计出口量147.6万t,美国是全球最大的锑原材料进口国,锑原材料累计进口量54.7万t,印度近年来锑原材料进口量增长较快,成为2023年全球第三大锑原材料进口国;③中国主导了全球锑原材料供应,但受国内锑矿产量下降影响,在锑产业链上游环节与中游环节的优势地位有所下降;④从产业链整体视角看,2003—2023年,中国国内锑资源供应始终能够满足国内消费需求,但锑资源净出口量显著下降。基于以上研究结果,建议从加强国内锑矿资源勘查开发力度、鼓励矿业企业走出去、提高再生锑回收技术三个方面进一步巩固提升我国锑产业链国际竞争力。

       

      Abstract: Antimony is a high-profile critical metal, known as “monosodium glutamate” “photovoltaic metal” “war metal”, etc. The output of China's antimony ores has continued to decline, and the global demand for antimony in the photovoltaic industry has increased significantly in recent years. In this context, a comprehensive analysis about the evolution of global antimony resources flow pattern is of great significance for China, which can help China to get a more accurate understanding of the global supply-demand situation of antimony resources and further to improve the international competitiveness of China’s antimony industry chain. This paper constructs a multi-layer network model of global antimony resources flow based on the complex network method. The temporal-spatial evolution characteristics of flow pattern of global antimony resources from 2003 to 2023 has been comprehensively analyzed. It is found that the status of secondary antimony has improved, and the proportion has increased from 12% in 2003 to 33% in 2023. China is the largest exporter of global antimony raw materials, with a cumulative export volume of 1.476 million tons. The United States is the largest importer of global antimony raw materials, with a cumulative import volume of 547000 tons. Import volume of antimony raw materials in India has increased rapidly in recent years, becoming the third largest importer of global antimony raw materials in 2023. China dominates the supply chain of global antimony raw materials, but its advantage in the upstream and midstream stage has both declined due to the decline of domestic antimony ore production. China has long been “self-sufficient” between domestic production and domestic consumption of antimony resources in the perspective of whole industry chain from 2003 to 2023, but the net export volume of antimony resources has decreased significantly. Based on the research results, it is suggested to strengthen the international competitive advantage of China’s antimony industry from three aspects: strengthening the exploration and development of domestic antimony resources, encouraging mining enterprises to go abroad and improving the recovery technology of secondary antimony.

       

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