基于复杂网络的全球铜产业持股结构研究

    A complex network-based study of the shareholding structure of the global copper industry

    • 摘要: 随着铜资源在全球经济中的战略重要性不断上升,各国通过投资和并购来强化自身在铜资源领域的地位。传统上,直接持有上市公司的股份是增强影响力的主要方式。然而近年来,间接持股形式逐渐兴起,使得利益分配和实际控制权变得更为复杂且不透明。因此,本文研究旨在解析这种转变,并识别出在全球铜产业中占据关键位置的国家。本文研究采用了复杂网络分析的方法论,对来自OSIRIS数据库的主要股东持股信息进行了系统性分析。这不仅包括直接持股比例的数据,还涵盖了间接持股路径的追踪,从而全面了解不同国家在全球铜产业中的角色。研究结果表明,间接持股关系的增长削弱了地理因素和政治因素的传统影响,使股东背景更加国际化。美国在直接持股方面保持领先地位,而意大利和新加坡则在间接持股领域显示出了显著的影响力。资源丰富的国家倾向于通过直接持股巩固其矿产所有权,而非资源国更多地采用间接持股策略以提升其市场地位。本文研究揭示了全球铜产业内部隐含的所有权动态,即非资源国通过间接持股增强了在全球市场的影响力,而资源国则继续依赖于直接持股来维持其优势。这一发现对于理解国际资本流动的新模式具有重要意义,并为政策制定者提供了宝贵的视角,鼓励其采取措施促进对铜产业的投资,进而提升各自国家在全球铜市场上的竞争力。此外,研究突出了复杂网络分析方法在探索跨国企业间隐蔽联系方面的应用潜力,为未来类似研究提供了一个新框架。

       

      Abstract: As the strategic importance of copper resources in the global economy continues to rise, countries are strengthening their position in the copper resources sector through investment and mergers and acquisitions. Traditionally, direct shareholdings in listed companies have been the primary means of increasing influence. However, in recent years, indirect shareholdings have emerged, making the distribution of benefits and effective control more complex and opaquer. Therefore, this paper aims to parse this shift and identify countries that occupy key positions in the global copper industry. The study employs the methodology of complex network analysis to systematically analyze information on major shareholder holdings from the OSIRIS database. This not only includes data on direct shareholding percentages, but also covers the tracking of indirect shareholding paths, thus providing a comprehensive understanding of the roles of different countries in the global copper industry. The study shows that the growth of indirect shareholding relationships has weakened the traditional influence of geographic and political factors, resulting in a more internationalized shareholder background. The United States maintains a leading position in direct shareholdings, while Italy and Singapore show significant influence in the area of indirect shareholdings. Resource-rich countries tend to consolidate their mineral power through direct shareholdings, while non-resource countries are more likely to adopt indirect shareholding strategies to enhance their market position. The study sheds light on the implied power dynamics within the global copper industry, whereby non-resource countries have increased their influence in the global market through indirect shareholdings, while resource countries continue to rely on direct shareholdings to maintain their dominance. This finding has important implications for understanding the emerging patterns of international capital flows and provides policymakers with valuable insights to encourage them to take measures to promote investment in the copper industry and thereby enhance the competitiveness of their respective countries in the global copper market. In addition, the study highlights the potential application of complex network analysis methodology in exploring hidden linkages among multinational firms, providing a new framework for similar studies in the future.

       

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