基于L-M神经网络的高温矿井进风井筒风温预测方法

    A prediction method for air temperature in high-temperature mine intake shaft based on L-M neural network

    • 摘要: 高温矿井进风井筒风温受多种因素共同影响,这些因素间存在复杂且动态的非线性关系,导致风温预测模型需具备实时更新和适应新数据源及条件的能力。然而,这种动态性变化增加了模型学习训练的难度,进而影响了预测结果的准确性。为解决这一问题,提出基于L-M神经网络的高温矿井进风井筒风温预测方法。采用DEMATEL方法对这些复杂且动态的影响因素进行筛选和确定,以确保所选指标能够准确反映矿井环境对风温的影响。基于筛选出的输入指标,构建井筒风温预测模型。为进一步提升模型的学习与拟合能力,应用L-M算法对神经网络进行优化。实验结果显示,该预测方法的最大预测误差不超过2 ℃,拟合系数稳定在0.95左右,充分证明了该方法在高温矿井进风井筒风温预测中的准确性和可靠性。与其他传统预测方法相比,该方法不仅显著提高了预测精度,还为矿井通风管理提供了更为可靠和科学的决策依据。因此,基于L-M神经网络的高温矿井进风井筒风温预测方法为实现精确的风温预测提供了一种有效且实用的手段。

       

      Abstract: The air temperature in the intake shaft of high-temperature mines is affected by multiple factors, and there are complex and dynamic nonlinear relationships between these factors, which requires the air temperature prediction model to have the ability to update and adapt to new data sources and conditions in real time. However, this dynamic change increases the difficulty of model learning and training, which in turn affects the accuracy of prediction results. To address this issue, a high-temperature mine air temperature prediction method based on L-M neural network is proposed. Using DEMATEL method to screen and determine these complex and dynamic influencing factors, to ensure that the selected indicators can accurately reflect the impact of mine environment on air temperature. Build a wellbore air temperature prediction model based on the selected input indicators. To further enhance the learning and fitting ability of the model, the L-M algorithm is applied to optimize the neural network. The experimental results show that the maximum prediction error of this prediction method does not exceed 2 ℃, and the fitting coefficient is stable at around 0.95, fully demonstrating the accuracy and reliability of this method in predicting the air temperature of the intake shaft in high-temperature mines. Compared with other traditional prediction methods, this method not only significantly improves prediction accuracy, but also provides more reliable and scientific decision-making basis for mine ventilation management. Therefore, the L-M neural network-based method for predicting the air temperature in high-temperature mine intake shafts provides an effective and practical means for achieving accurate air temperature prediction.

       

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