2024年中国矿产资源形势回顾与展望

    Outlook and overview of mineral resources situation of China in 2024

    • 摘要: 2024年全球抗击通胀之战取得阶段性胜利,全球经济保持了韧性。全球矿业市场稳中有升,投资者对矿业市场的信心有所增强。随着全球供应链扰动缓解、紧缩货币政策抑制需求,大部分矿产品价格持续回调。面对更趋复杂严峻的国际环境,2024年中国经济顶住压力、稳中有进。中国矿业市场发展持续向好,表现为:全国矿产资源勘查开发力度加大,地质勘查投资连续三年超千亿元,探矿权投放力度加大,采矿业固定资产投资连续四年增长,采选业企业利润处于历史高位。主要矿产品生产平稳向好,铁矿石、十种有色金属等均保持增长。能源安全保供能力进一步提升,原煤产量创历史新高,原油和天然气产量连续多年保持增长。能源绿色化清洁化效果进一步凸显,能源结构转型加快,清洁能源装机规模不断扩大,消费占一次能源比重不断提升,同时煤炭清洁高效利用加快。矿产品贸易保持增长,矿产品贸易总额占全国商品贸易总额的四分之一,规模再创历史新高。大宗矿产品对外依存度处于高位,煤炭进口量再创历史新高,对外依存度首次突破10%,石油、天然气、铁矿石分别为72.1%、42.4%和79.7%。未来,中国经济将加速增长,对矿产资源的需求会增加。应克服矿业发展面临的ESG挑战,加大国内找矿力度,同时加强矿业国际合作,提高矿产资源安全保障能力。

       

      Abstract: In 2024, the global battle against inflation has achieved a partial victory, and the global economy has maintained its resilience. The global mining market is stable with a slight upward trend, and investors have increased their confidence in the mining market. With the easing of global supply chain disruptions and the suppression of demand through tight monetary policies, the most of mineral products prices have continued to decline. Faced with an increasingly complex and severe international environment, China’s economy has withstood pressure and made steady progress in 2024. China’s mining market has continued to improve, which is reflected in the following aspects: the national exploration and development of mineral resources has been strengthened, the national investment in geological exploration has exceeded 100 billion yuan for three consecutive years, the release of exploration rights has been intensified and the fixed assets investment in the mining industry has increased for four consecutive years. The profits of mining and dressing industry have reached a high level. The production of major mineral products is steadily improving, with growth in iron ore, ten types of non-ferrous metals, and others. The capacity to ensure energy security and supply has been further enhanced, with coal production hitting a record high and crude oil and natural gas production maintaining continuous growth for several years. The green and clean aspects of energy have become more prominent, accelerating the transformation of the energy structure. The installed capacity of clean energy continues to expand, with the proportion of clean energy consumption in primary energy steadily increasing. Meanwhile, the clean and efficient utilization of coal is gaining pace. The import and export of mineral products continues to grow, with the total trade volume accounting for a quarter of the country’s total commodity trade, reaching a new historical high. The external dependence on bulk mineral products remains high, with coal imports reaching a new record and the external dependence surpassing 10% for the first time. Specifically, the external dependence on oil, natural gas, and iron ore stands at 72.1%, 42.4%, and 79.7%, respectively. In the future, the Chinese economy will accelerate its growth, and the demand for mineral resources will increase. Therefore, we should overcome the ESG challenges faced by the development of the mining industry, increase domestic exploration efforts, and strengthen international cooperation in the mining industry to improve the security and supply capabilities of mineral resources.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回