新形势下全球能源转型态势初探:显现两条技术路径并行

    Preliminary exploration of the global energy transformation trend under the new situation: showing two parallel technological paths

    • 摘要: 当前,全球能源体系正经历深度重构的历史性转折。除风电、光伏等清洁能源外,以氢能、先进储能、碳捕集与封存(CCS)为代表的新兴领域不断取得技术突破,页岩气等传统能源开采技术的成熟正推动化石能源清洁化进程。这些突破性进展成为新一轮科技革命的关键驱动力。然而,面对日益严峻的气候变化问题,以及特朗普新政高度重视化石能源产业和数字化技术的国际能源发展新趋势,各国加快推进全球能源低碳转型已迫在眉睫,能源低碳技术的研发和推广应用已成为破局关键。为此,本文提出了新能源技术和传统能源技术并举发展将成为实现能源转型目标的两条技术路径,探讨了各场景储能技术、数字化技术、氢能“制储输用”全产业链技术、绿色甲醇燃料研发、碳捕集与封存(CCS)技术、页岩气和煤层气开发及其治理技术等六类重要的关键技术领域。研究结果表明,要占据未来全球清洁能源产业链和价值链顶端,我国亟需重视科技创新,通过加快推进能源行业数字化技术发展,推动多元应用场景试点示范,坚持大力发展负碳技术,着力提升负碳技术创新水平、碳汇能力,以及围绕实现全球碳中和愿景与共识持续深化低碳科技创新领域国际合作,加快构建多元化、系统化的新型能源体系,实现高质量、可持续发展。

       

      Abstract: At present, the global energy system is undergoing a historic transformation of deep restructuring. Besides clean energy sources such as wind power and photovoltaic power, emerging fields represented by hydrogen energy, advanced energy storage, and carbon capture and storage (CCS) are constantly achieving technological breakthroughs. The maturity of traditional energy extraction technologies such as shale gas is promoting the clean-up process of fossil energy. These breakthroughs have become the core driving force of the new round of technological revolution. However, in the face of increasingly severe climate change issues and the new international energy development trend that Trump’s new policy attaches great importance to the fossil energy industry and digital technology, it is urgent for all countries to accelerate the global energy low-carbon transformation. The research and application promotion of low-carbon energy technologies have become the key to breaking the deadlock. Therefore, it is proposed that the concurrent development of new energy technologies and traditional energy technologies will be the two technical paths to achieve the energy transformation goal, and six important key technology fields are discussed, including energy storage technologies in various scenarios, digital technologies, the entire industrial chain technologies of hydrogen energy “production, storage, transportation and utilization”, green methanol fuel research and development, carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies, and the development and governance technologies of shale gas and coalbed methane. The research shows that to occupy the top of the global clean energy industry chain and value chain in the future, China urgently needs to attach importance to scientific and technological innovation, accelerate the development of digital technologies in the energy industry, promote pilot demonstrations in multiple application scenarios, insist on vigorously developing negative carbon technologies, strive to improve the innovation level and carbon sink capacity of negative carbon technologies, and continuously deepen international cooperation in the field of low-carbon scientific and technological innovation around the vision and consensus of achieving global carbon neutrality, so as to accelerate the construction of a diversified and systematic new energy system and achieve high-quality and sustainable development.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回