基于“资源-经济-环境”协同测度的铀矿资源调查评价方法及实证研究

    An empirical study on uranium resource investigation and assessment methods based on “resource-economy-environment” collaborative measurements

    • 摘要: 铀矿资源作为保障国家能源安全与核工业发展的战略性矿产,构建系统有效的勘查评价体系对实现其资源优化开发具有重要意义。为了提升铀矿资源调查评价的全面性与准确性,针对当前铀矿资源调查评价方法多聚焦于资源禀赋维度,忽视经济开发价值与环境承载力等多维要素协同影响的局限性,本研究基于系统性文献综述法与德尔菲法,构建了基于“资源-经济-环境”的铀矿资源调查三维协同测度框架,确立了包含3个一级指标、9个二级指标及26个三级指标的铀矿资源调查多维评价指标体系,集成运用层次分析法与PROMETHEE-II多目标决策技术,对湖南省4个典型的铀矿资源调查评价项目开展了实证研究。研究结果表明:4个项目的综合排序为项目B>项目C>项目A>项目D,其中,项目A虽存在明显的短期开发优势,但资源禀赋不足;项目B在资源潜力与勘探可靠性方面表现较好,但经济效益指标存在短板;项目C在资源综合利用方面优势显著,但环境风险较高;项目D具有较好的经济效益,但资源禀赋较差;模型评价结果与实际调查结果保持一致,该评价模型具有较好的信效度。基于上述研究结果,本研究提出了差异化的铀矿资源开发策略及建议:资源潜力型项目(项目B、项目C)应聚焦成本优化与环境风险控制,经济导向型项目(项目A、项目D)需强化资源勘探与技术创新,并为铀矿资源的开发策略优化与可持续目标的协同提升提供了重要的科学依据与决策支持。

       

      Abstract: As a strategic mineral resource safeguarding national energy security and nuclear industry development, establishing a scientific uranium exploration evaluation system is crucial for optimizing resource development. To enhance the comprehensiveness and accuracy of uranium resource assessment, this study addresses the current methodological limitation of overemphasizing resource endowment while neglecting multi-dimensional synergies among economic value and environmental sustainability. By integrating systematic literature review and Delphi method, developing a three-dimensional “resource-economy-environment” collaborative measurement framework, constructing a multi-criteria index system containing 3 primary indicators, 9 secondary indicators, and 26 tertiary indicators. Applying Analytic Hierarchy Process and PROMETHEE-II multi-criteria decision analysis to four typical uranium exploration projects in Hunan Province. The results show that the comprehensive ranking as Project B>Project C>Project A>Project D. Project A demonstrates short-term development advantages but inadequate resource endowment; Project B shows superior resource potential and exploration reliability yet economic efficiency constraints; Project C exhibits resource utilization strengths but higher environmental risks; Project D presents economic benefits but poor resource potential. The model’s validity and reliability are confirmed through consistency verification with practical survey results. Based on findings, differentiated development strategies are proposed: resource-potential projects (Project B, Project C) should prioritize cost optimization and environmental risk control, while economically-oriented projects (Project A, Project D) require enhanced exploration and technological innovation, providing scientific decision-making support for synergistic improvement of uranium resource development strategies and sustainability goals.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回