基于时序InSAR与改进LSTM的露天矿沉降分析与预测

    Analysis and prediction of subsidence in open-pit mines using time-series InSAR and enhanced LSTM

    • 摘要: 针对露天矿地表沉降监测精度不足、时序预测模型适应性弱的问题,本文提出一种基于时序InSAR技术与改进长短期记忆(LSTM)模型相结合的露天矿区沉降分析与预测方法。首先,本文利用SBAS-InSAR技术处理59景Sentinel-1卫星影像,获取矿区总体形变空间分布特征及毫米级的年平均沉降率;其次,基于传统的LSTM模型进行优化改进,引入编码器与解码器架构,构建沉降预测框架。研究结果表明:SBAS-InSAR监测精度较高;改进LSTM模型预测精度显著提升,四个点位平均绝对误差为1.946 mm、平均均方根误差为2.453 mm;传统LSTM模型四个点位的平均绝对误差为3.670 mm、平均均方根误差为4.560 mm;相较于传统LSTM模型,平均绝对误差和平均均方根误差分别至少降低了46.98%和46.21%。因此,时序InSAR与改进LSTM的融合方法在露天矿区沉降分析与预测中具有较好的应用效果。

       

      Abstract: This paper aims to address the deficiencies in surface subsidence monitoring accuracy and the limited adaptability of time-series prediction models in open-pit mines. To this end, a novel subsidence analysis and prediction method for open-pit mines is proposed. This method integrates time-series InSAR technology with an enhanced long- and short-term memory(LSTM) model. Firstly, SBAS-InSAR technology is employed to process 59-view Sentinel-1 satellite images, thereby acquiring the spatial distribution characteristics of the overall deformation in the mining area and the annual average subsidence rate at millimeter level. Secondly, the traditional LSTM model is optimized and improved, and encoder and decoder architectures are introduced to construct the framework of subsidence prediction. The results demonstrate that: the SBAS-InSAR monitoring accuracy is high; the prediction accuracy of the enhanced LSTM model is notably enhanced, with an average absolute error of 1.946 mm and an average root-mean-square error of 2.453 mm for the four points; the average absolute error of 3.670 mm and the average root-mean-square error of 4.560 mm for the four points of the traditional LSTM model. In comparison with the traditional LSTM model, the average absolute error and average root mean square error are reduced by at least 46.98% and 46.21%, respectively. Consequently, the integration of time-series InSAR and enhanced LSTM demonstrates a substantial application efficacy in the analysis and prediction of open-pit mine subsidence.

       

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