全球新一轮关键矿产竞争的动力、趋势与中国应对

    Global competition for critical minerals: motivation, new trends and China’s response

    • 摘要: 关键矿产是支撑国家科技经济发展、保障国家安全的重要资源。准确把握全球关键矿产竞争态势,对于中国制定针对性应对策略,具有重要意义。2008年全球金融危机后,战略性新兴产业快速发展引发全球出现自冷战结束以来的新一轮关键矿产竞争热潮,整体表现为五大趋势:一是竞争产业链化,竞争范围由上游矿产资源向全产业链延伸;二是竞争阵营化,资源国、消费国与加工国加速重组为不同竞争阵营;三是全球矿产勘查投资偏好“低风险化”,矿业企业投资风险偏好愈加保守;四是发达国家矿业投资本土化,美加澳三国的矿产勘查预算与矿业项目并购规模持续增加;五是资源东道国利益诉求多元化,由单纯的获取矿产品出口收益向产业发展、环境保护、民生改善、国际话语权提升等领域全面拓展。此外,中国关键矿产国际合作还面临美西方推动关键矿产供应链“去中国化”、对中国矿业企业“污名化”和“资源民族主义”加速回潮三大挑战,建议从加强同周边国家资源—产业合作、讲好中国绿色矿业故事、创新关键矿产国际合作机制三方面协同发力,构建更具韧性的关键矿产产业链供应链,为推动国内经济高质量发展、全面建成社会主义现代化强国提供坚实的能源资源保障。

       

      Abstract: Critical minerals are indispensable resources for sustaining technological and economic development and safeguarding country security. It is vital for China to accurately understand the global competition status of critical minerals so as to formulate targeted strategies in response. Since the global financial crisis in 2008, the rapid development of strategic emerging industries has triggered a new wave of critical minerals competition since the end of the Cold War, which is characterized by five key trends: firstly, competition has expanded from mineral resources in upstream to the entire industrial chain; secondly, resource-abundant countries, consuming countries, and processing countries are reorganizing into different competitive blocs; thirdly, global mineral exploration investments are increasingly risk-averse, with mining enterprises adopting more conservative investment preferences; fourthly, developed countries are prioritizing domestic mineral investments, as evidenced by rising mineral exploration budgets and merger scales in the U.S., Canada, and Australia; and fifthly, resource-host countries are broadening their demands, shifting from mere earning export benefits to encompassing industry development, environmental protection, livelihood improvement, and international discourse power enhancement. Additionally, China’s international cooperation on critical minerals also faces three major challenges: the U.S. and Western countries’ efforts to promote the “de-Sinicization” of critical minerals supply chains, the “stigmatization” of Chinese mining enterprises and the resurgence of “resource nationalism”. It is recommended to responding to the above challenges from three aspects: strengthening resource-industry cooperation with neighboring countries, better telling China’s green mining stories, and innovating international cooperation mechanisms for critical minerals. Such efforts will help build more resilient critical minerals supply chains, further to provide solid energy and resource guarantees for promoting high-quality domestic economic development and thus building a socialist modern power in an all-round way.

       

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