全球稀土产业链产品贸易网络格局演化与中国贸易地位研究

    Study on the pattern evolution of global rare earth industry chain product trade network and China’s trade status

    • 摘要: 稀土是支撑高端技术创新和新兴产业发展的关键矿产资源,具有重要的战略意义。对全球稀土产业链产品贸易网络格局演化及中国贸易地位进行分析,有助于优化全球稀土产品贸易现状,为中国制定稀土产品贸易与投资政策提供参考依据。本文基于稀土产业链视角,利用2014—2023年12种稀土产业链产品的全球贸易数据,构建了涵盖238个国家(地区)的有向加权贸易网络模型,分析贸易整体及个体时空演变特征,并进一步研究中国在全球稀土产品贸易中的地位。结果表明:①上游产品贸易紧密性最强,分化程度最不稳定,中国、德国和美国处于较为活跃状态;中国在稀土原矿产品贸易网络中充当“中介和桥梁”角色,但贸易稳定性不足且灵活自主性较弱。②中游产品贸易紧密性最弱,分化程度呈下降趋势,德国、比利时等欧洲国家处于主导地位;中国在其中的贸易稳定性较强,但灵活自主性较弱,其中对稀土盐类的贸易控制力逐渐减弱,但对稀土金属、铈化合物和稀土氧化物的贸易控制力不断增强。③下游产品的贸易紧密性较强,分化程度最稳定,中国、德国、美国、西班牙和意大利最为活跃;中国在其中的控制力不断增强,对荧光、抛光、铁合金和稀土永磁类产品贸易网络具有一定的调控和影响力,中国运用结构洞能力逐年提高,灵活性和自主性逐年增强。

       

      Abstract: Rare earths are key mineral resources that support high-end technological innovation and the development of emerging industries, and they hold significant strategic importance. An analysis of the evolution of the global rare earth industry chain product trade network pattern and China’s trade status is conducive to optimizing the current situation of global rare earth product trade and providing a reference basis for China to formulate trade and investment policies for rare earth products. Based on the perspective of the rare earth industry chain, this paper uses the global trade data of 12 rare earth industry chain products from 2014 to 2023 to construct a directed weighted trade network model covering 238 countries (regions), analyzes the overall and individual spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of trade, and further studies China’s status in global rare earth product trade. The results show that: ①the trade closeness of upstream products is the strongest, and the degree of differentiation is the most unstable. China, Germany and the United States are in a relatively active state; China plays the role of “intermediary and bridge” in the trade network of rare earth raw ore products, but its trade stability is insufficient, and its flexibility and autonomy are relatively weak. ②The trade closeness of midstream products is the weakest, and the degree of differentiation shows a downward trend. European countries such as Germany and Belgium are in a dominant status. China’s trade stability among them is relatively strong, but its flexibility and autonomy are relatively weak. Its trade control over rare earth salts has gradually weakened, but its trade control over rare earth metals, cerium compounds and rare earth oxides has continuously strengthened. ③The trade closeness of downstream products is relatively strong, and the degree of differentiation is the most stable. China, Germany, the United States, Spain and Italy are the most active. China’s control over it has been continuously strengthening, and it has certain regulation and influence on the trade network of fluorescent, polished, ferroalloy and rare earth permanent magnetic products. China’s ability to apply structural holes has been improving year by year, and its flexibility and autonomy have been increasing year by year.

       

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