燃煤电厂CBECCS技术的碳减排核算模型及关键问题探讨

    Carbon emission reduction accounting model of CBECCS for coal-fired power plants and exploration of key issues

    • 摘要: 煤与生物质掺烧耦合碳捕集与封存(CBECCS)技术因其较高的减排潜力,已成为我国煤电行业实现深度减排与低碳转型的重要技术选项之一。目前,现行碳减排核算体系主要围绕碳捕集与封存(CCS)技术展开,缺乏CBECCS技术的碳减排核算体系,导致CBECCS技术的碳减排效益难以量化,制约着其政策支持与工程推广。因此,亟需建立科学完善的CBECCS碳减排核算方法,以推动该技术规模化应用。本文从全流程视角出发,系统构建了适用于CBECCS技术的碳减排核算模型,涵盖基准线排放、项目排放与泄漏排放三大模块。研究充分考虑生物质燃料的碳中性特征,提出了基于碳贡献比例分配的基准线排放构建方法,明确界定了核算边界,细化识别了燃料获取、碳捕集、运输、封存及设施活动中的排放源,提出泄漏排放分阶段估算方法,构建全流程净减排量核算模型。基于模型,聚焦生物质掺烧比例及资源保障、封存稳定性及负碳排放,深化分析影响CBECCS技术碳排放核算的关键因素。以600 MW燃煤X发电机组为案例,研究结果表明:在生物质掺烧比例25% (热量比)下,CBECCS项目年净减排量达135.21万t CO2,验证了该技术路径的显著减排潜力。本研究可为多阶段、多源排放背景下的CBECCS项目提供碳减排量核算方法的支撑,为CBECCS技术进入碳交易市场提供了可行的量化依据,推动其在我国煤电行业负碳技术体系中的推广应用。

       

      Abstract: Coal-bioenergy co-firing with carbon capture and storage(CBECCS) has emerged as a key technological option for deep decarbonization and low-carbon transition in China’s coal-fired power sector due to its significant emission reduction potential. However, the existing carbon emission reduction accounting frameworks are primarily designed for conventional CCS projects and lack a dedicated methodology for CBECCS, making it difficult to quantify its mitigation benefits and hindering policy support and large-scale deployment. Accordingly, it is imperative to establish a scientifically robust and comprehensive carbon emission reduction accounting methodology for CBECCS to facilitate its large-scale deployment. This study adopts a full process perspective to systematically construct a carbon emission reduction accounting model applicable to CBECCS technology, establishing three core modules: baseline emissions, project emissions, and leakage emissions. The research fully considers the carbon-neutral characteristics of biomass fuels and proposes a baseline emission construction method based on carbon contribution ratio allocation. The study clearly defines accounting boundaries, identifies emission sources in fuel acquisition, carbon capture, transportation, storage, and facility activities, and develops a phased estimation method for leakage emissions to construct a comprehensive net emission reduction accounting model. Based on this model, the study analyzes key factors affecting CBECCS carbon accounting, focusing on biomass co-firing ratios and resource availability, storage stability, and negative emissions. A case study conducted on Unit X, a 600 MW coal-fired power plant, demonstrates that with a biomass co-firing ratio of 25 % (on an energy basis), the annual net CO2 emission reduction of the CBECCS project reaches 1.352 1 million tons, validating the significant reduction potential of this technology pathway. This research provides methodological support for carbon emission reduction accounting in CBECCS projects under multi-stage and multi-source emission scenarios, offers a feasible quantitative basis for CBECCS technology to enter carbon trading markets, and promotes its application in China’s coal-fired power industry’s negative emission technology system.

       

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