基于熵权法的中国锗资源供应风险评估

    Risk assessment of germanium resource supply in China based on entropy weight method

    • 摘要: 锗作为战略性关键矿产之一,被广泛应用于高科技产业。为了保障锗资源的供应安全,本文从资源因素、经济因素、技术因素和环境因素四个维度构建了评价体系,并运用熵权法的方法对中国锗资源供应风险进行评估。研究结果表明,技术因素对锗资源的供应安全影响最大,其次是环境因素和资源因素,经济因素影响效果最小。中国锗资源安全评价得分呈上升趋势,从2015年的0.294 2提升至2023年的0.869 7,总体处于安全状态。研究还设定了风险等级阈值,为锗资源风险管理提供了科学依据。

       

      Abstract: As one of the strategic key minerals, germanium is widely used in high-tech industries. In order to guarantee the security of supply of germanium resources, this paper constructs an evaluation system from four dimensions, namely, resource factors, economic factors, technological factors and environmental factors, and applies entropy weighting method to assess the risk of germanium resources supply in China. The results show that technical factors have the greatest influence on the supply security of germanium resources, followed by environmental factors and resource factors, and economic factors have the least effect. China’s germanium resource security evaluation score shows an upward trend, from 0.294 2 in 2015 to 0.869 7 in 2023, and is generally in a secure state. The study also set risk level thresholds, providing a scientific basis for germanium resource risk management.

       

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