大埋深煤矿开采风险评估与防控措施研究

    Research on risk assessment and prevention and control measures for large buried deep coal mines

    • 摘要: 建立大埋深煤矿开采风险评估体系是增强矿井安全生产水平的重要途径。本研究以“4M”事故致因理论为基础,结合深部开采的典型特征,从从业人员、机械设备、地质环境与管理体系四个维度,遴选出16项关键安全评价指标。采用层次分析法(AHP)确定指标权重,结合TOPSIS模型计算各矿安全管理指数(Si),并借助多矿井数据开展实证分析。研究结果表明,支护系统可靠性、监测预警覆盖率与应急避险能力是影响深部开采安全的关键因素。围绕上述关键因素,分别从设备可靠性维护、地质适应性监测及人员应急培训与组织管理角度提出改进措施。

       

      Abstract: The establishment of a risk assessment system for large buried deep coal mines is an important way to enhance the safety production level of mines. Based on the “4M” accident causation theory, combined with the typical characteristics of deep mining, this study selects 16 key safety evaluation indicators from four dimensions: employees, machinery and equipment, geological environment and management system. The analytic hierarchy process(AHP) is used to determine the index weights, and the safety management index(Si) of each mine is calculated by combining the TOPSIS model, and the empirical analysis is carried out with the help of multi-mine data. The results show that the reliability of the support system, the coverage rate of monitoring and early warning and the ability to avoid emergency risk are the key factors affecting the safety of deep mining. Focusing on the above key factors, improvement measures are proposed from the perspectives of equipment reliability maintenance, geological adaptability monitoring, personnel emergency training and organization management.

       

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