基于多元分析的采煤机状态评估与预测研究

    Research on the evaluation and prediction of coal mining machine status based on multivariate analysis

    • 摘要: 针对煤矿智能化进程中采煤机状态评估所面临的准确率低、抗干扰能力不足及评估效率不佳的问题。本文基于PCA-WOA-BP神经网络的模型对采煤机的运行状态进行评估。基于采煤机核心部件的结构特性、工作机制及实际工况,依据可测性、独立性及全面性等准则,确立了涵盖牵引部、切割部、液压系统与其他部件在内的14个状态监测指标。以某煤矿1 000条状态数据为实验数据,经PCA降维,前4个主成分累计贡献率98.15%,作为模型输入特征。再用鲸鱼优化算法优化BP神经网络,构建PCA-WOA-BP模型。Matlab仿真实验显示,该模型平均评估准确率96.01%,高于BP模型与WOA-BP模型,且输入节点少、训练时间短,能为采煤机状态评估与维护提供支撑,后续需完善数据量大场景适用性。

       

      Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to solve the problem of poor accuracy, low efficiency and weak anti-interference capability of condition assessment of coal mining machines when coal mines undergo intelligentization, to propose an intelligent health assessment method based on principal component analysis and whale optimization algorithm optimized backpropagation(BP) neural network model. According to the structure of coal mining machine’s key components and working principle as well as practical conditions of mining enterprises, 14 state monitoring parameters are chosen according to the principle of measurability, independence and comprehensiveness. They include traction section, cutting section, hydraulic system and other related parameters in coal mining machine state maintenance. Using 1 000 sets of state data of coal mining machines provided by a certain coal mine as experimental data, PCA is used for dimension reduction. The first four principal components can reach cumulative contribution rate of 98.15%, which serves as input features for the model. Then it uses WOA to optimize the standard BP and built PCA-WOA-BP model. Matlab simulation experiments show that the established model has average assessment accuracy of 96.01%, more than that of standard BP and WOA-BP models. Also needed fewer input nodes and spent less training time than training time of two model, provides references for coal mining machine condition assessment and maintenance. More improvements are needed to improve the availability of the model to a great extent under the large sample data conditions.

       

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