2025年我国非油气地质勘查形势分析与展望

    Analysis of China’s non-oil/gas geological exploration situation in 2025 and prospect

    • 摘要: 在全球经济温和复苏、矿业深度转型及我国经济稳健增长的宏观背景下,国内经济高质量发展对关键矿产资源供给、生态地质安全保障的需求持续攀升,推动我国地质勘查投入实现2021—2025年连续五年正增长,地勘行业正式迈入高质量发展的新阶段。基于全国地质勘查成果直报系统数据,系统分析了2021—2025年我国地质勘查投入演变特征:我国地质勘查总投入从173.81亿元增至252.50亿元,年均增长9.8%,呈现稳健复苏的发展态势;社会资金投入占比稳步提升,市场主体投资意愿逐步增强;地质勘查投入专业结构持续优化,形成了“强基础、重找矿、稳环境”的投入格局;区域投入布局向西部倾斜,西部地质勘查投入占比稳步回升,中东部地质勘查投入占比稳中有降。2025年我国非油气矿产勘查投入达162.93亿元,同比增长17.1%。矿产勘查财政资金投入占比超五成,社会资金投入占比基本保持稳定。中西部地区非油气矿产勘查投入增幅超过全国平均水平,投入排名前五位省份同比增长24.4%。有色金属与贵金属矿产勘查成为投入热点,战略性矿种贡献了近半数的新发现矿产地。展望2026年,我国地质勘查行业将延续稳步回升态势,依托政策衔接、技术革新、布局优化实现阶段性突破,持续完善资源安全保障体系,为“十五五”地质勘查事业高质量发展奠定坚实基础。

       

      Abstract: Against the backdrop of a moderate global economic recovery, the profound transformation of the mining industry, and the steady growth of China’s economy, the demand for high-quality domestic economic development continues to rise for the supply of critical mineral resources and the safeguarding of ecological geological security. This has driven China’s geological exploration investment to achieve five consecutive years of positive growth from 2021 to 2025, marking the official entry of the geological exploration industry into a new phase of high-quality development. Based on data from the National Geological Exploration Results Direct Reporting System, this paper systematically analyzes the evolution characteristics of China’s geological exploration investment from 2021 to 2025: total geological exploration investment in China increased from 17.381 billion yuan to 25.250 billion yuan, with an average annual growth rate of 9.8%, demonstrating a steady recovery trend; the proportion of social capital investment steadily rose, while market entities’ willingness to invest gradually strengthened; the professional structure of geological exploration investment continued to optimize, forming an investment pattern characterized by “strong foundations, emphasis on mineral exploration, and stable environmental conditions”; regional investment distribution tilted toward the western regions, with the proportion of exploration investment in the west steadily rebounding, while that in the central and eastern regions remained relatively stable. In 2025, non-oil/gas mineral exploration investment in China reached 16.293 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.1%. Fiscal funds accounted for over 50% of mineral exploration investment, while social capital investment remained relatively stable. The growth rate of non-oil/gas mineral exploration investment in central and western regions exceeded the national average, with the top five provinces in investment ranking achieving a year-on-year increase of 24.4%. Exploration of non-ferrous and precious metal minerals became a hotspot, with strategic mineral species contributing nearly half of newly discovered mineral deposits. Looking ahead to 2026, China’s geological exploration industry will maintain a steady recovery trend, achieving phased breakthroughs through policy continuity, technological innovation, and optimized layouts, while continuously improving the resource security guarantee system and laying a solid foundation for the high-quality development of geological exploration during the 15th Five-Year Plan period.

       

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