MSTGCN-PI与重力热管耦合的沉陷区矸石山自燃防控研究

    Study on spontaneous combustion prevention and control of gangue pile in subsidence area based on coupling of MSTGCN-PI and gravity heat pipe

    • 摘要: 浅埋深综采工况下,沉陷区上部矸石山自燃产生的有毒有害气易通过采动裂隙涌入井下,严重威胁矿山安全,现有监测系统存在单点阈值依赖、误报率高、时空关联挖掘缺失等问题。为此,提出融合多尺度时空图卷积网络(MSTGCN)与超导重力热管积温导出技术的在线监测及防灭火方法。该方法通过多尺度特征提取捕捉数据异常,利用MSTGCN挖掘空间依赖与风险传播路径,融入物理先验约束构建MSTGCN-PI模型,增强数据稀疏时段预测稳定性,再耦合热管技术开展防灭火试验。以上湾煤矿22106工作面上覆沉陷区矸石山为试验场地,布设107个监测点,采集12个月数据,在1 300 m2试验区布设110根热管验证效果。结果显示,MSTGCN-PI模型预警提前6.8 h,较传统阈值法延长6.3 h,误报率2.6%,F1-score与AUC分别达0.93和0.97;热管治理后,矸石山5 m、10 m深部温度与CO浓度显著下降,自燃得到有效抑制。该技术构建“监测-预警-定位-治理”全流程闭环,为同类防治提供高效工程方案。

       

      Abstract: Under the condition of shallow fully mechanized mining, the toxic and harmful gases generated by the spontaneous combustion of gangue piles above the subsidence area are likely to pour into the underground through mining-induced fractures, which seriously threatens mine safety. However, the existing monitoring systems have problems such as single-point threshold dependence, high false alarm rate, and lack of spatiotemporal correlation mining. To address this issue, it proposes an online monitoring and fire prevention method integrating a Multiscale Spatiotemporal Graph Convolutional Network (MSTGCN) and superconducting gravity heat pipe accumulated temperature export technology. This method captures data anomalies through multiscale feature extraction, uses MSTGCN to mine spatial dependencies and risk propagation paths, incorporates physical prior constraints to construct the MSTGCN-PI hybrid model to enhance prediction stability during data-sparse periods, and finally couples heat pipe technology to carry out accumulated temperature export fire prevention and extinguishing tests. Taking the gangue pile in the overlying subsidence area of the 22106 working face in Shangwan Coal Mine as the test site, arrange 107 monitoring points to collect data for 12 months, and set up 110 heat pipes in the 1 300 m2 test area to verify the effect. The results show that the MSTGCN-PI model advances the early warning time by 6.8 hours, which is 6.3 hours longer than that of the traditional threshold method, reduces the false alarm rate to 2.6%, and achieves F1-score and AUC values of 0.93 and 0.97, respectively. After heat pipe treatment, the deep temperature (at 5 m and 10 m) and CO concentration of the gangue pile decrease significantly, and spontaneous combustion is effectively suppressed. This technology constructs a full-process closed loop of “monitoring-early warning-location-governance” and provides an efficient engineering scheme for similar prevention and control tasks.

       

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