欧盟关键原材料战略:进展与启示

    The EU critical raw materials strategy: progress and implications

    • 摘要: 全球地缘政治竞争加剧,推动世界主要国家纷纷转向安全优先的关键矿产战略。欧盟作为我国第二大货物贸易伙伴,其以“去风险”为目标的关键原材料战略,给我国关键矿产产业链供应链安全与国际竞争力带来挑战。本文梳理了欧盟关键原材料政策演进脉络,分析了其战略体系架构,评估了欧盟60个关键原材料战略项目最新进展,研判了2030年欧盟本土供应目标的可实现性。研究发现:①欧盟关键原材料政策演进过程经历了三个时期,构建形成以《关键原材料法案》(CRMA)为制度基石、关键原材料战略项目为政策抓手、三大路径(本土产能建设、多元化国际供应、资源效率提升)协同驱动的关键原材料战略体系;②欧盟三分之一的战略项目进展不及预期,审批许可与融资是制约项目进度的最主要因素;③欧盟关键原材料战略实施能力与其战略目标之间存在明显落差,现有战略项目布局仅能保障铜这一种关键原材料实现CRMA 2030本土供应全部目标,其关键原材料供应高度对外依赖的局面短期内难以实质性改善。研究启示,我国应理性看待欧盟供应链多元化进程,深化国际矿业合作的同时,强化国内制度性保障与协同治理体系建设,夯实国内资源安全基本盘,统筹应对竞争与合作双重挑战。

       

      Abstract: The intensification of global geopolitical competition has prompted major economies worldwide to pivot toward security-first critical mineral strategies. As China’s second-largest trading partner in goods, the European Union’s strategy of de-risking critical raw materials poses challenges to the security of China’s critical mineral industry chains and supply chains as well as its international competitiveness. This paper reviews the evolutionary trajectory of EU critical raw materials policies, analyzes the architecture of its strategic system, evaluates the latest progress of 60 EU strategic projects for critical raw materials, and assesses the attainability of the EU’s 2030 domestic supply targets. The analysis yields three primary findings: ① the evolution of EU critical raw materials policy has traversed three phases, resulting in a strategic system with the Critical Raw Materials Act (CRMA) as its institutional cornerstone, strategic projects as policy instruments, and three pathways—domestic capacity building, diversified international sourcing, and resource efficiency improvement—as synergistic drivers. ② Approximately one-third of the strategic projects are progressing behind schedule, with license permitting or financing representing the principal constraints on project advancement. ③ A marked gap exists between the EU’s institutional ambition and its implementation capacity. With the current project pipeline, only copper can fulfill all CRMA 2030 domestic supply targets, implying that the EU’s heavy reliance on external sources of critical raw materials—including Chinese supply—is unlikely to be substantively alleviated in the short term. The findings suggest that China should adopt a rational perspective toward the EU’s supply chain diversification process, deepen international mining cooperation, strengthen domestic institutional safeguards and collaborative governance systems, and consolidate the domestic resource security foundation, thereby addressing both competitive and cooperative challenges in a coordinated manner.

       

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