转型试点政策与城市产业结构升级:基于资源型示范城市的经验证据

    Transformation pilot policies and urban industrial structure upgrading: empirical evidence from resource-based demonstration cities

    • 摘要: 突破资源依赖、实现产业结构升级是资源型城市可持续发展的核心议题。本文基于2013—2022年我国113个资源型城市的面板数据,采用多期双重差分法构建计量基本回归模型,评估转型试点政策对资源型城市产业结构升级的影响。同时,引入绿色科技创新、金融聚集和土地资源配置三个中介变量,探讨转型试点政策对资源型城市产业结构升级的作用机制。研究结果表明:①转型试点政策对资源型城市的产业结构升级具有显著推动作用,经多种稳健性验证,结果依然稳定。②区域异质性研究表明,该政策对不同地区资源型城市产业结构升级呈现明显的异质性。在中部地区、东北地区及西部地区有明显的促进作用,在东部地区不显著。③作用机制研究表明,该政策影响中绿色科技创新、金融聚集和土地资源配置间接促进资源型城市产业结构升级。根据研究结论,构建转型试点长效支持机制,强化绿色技术创新、金融集聚、土地资源配置三大传导渠道,实施区域差异化精准施策,稳定并持续释放政策对资源型城市产业结构升级的促进作用。

       

      Abstract: Breaking free from resource dependence and realizing industrial structure upgrading constitute the core issue for the sustainable development of resource-based cities. Based on the panel data of 113 resource-based cities in China from 2013 to 2022, it establishes a basic econometric regression model through the multi-period difference-in-differences(DID) method to evaluate the impact of the transformation pilot policy on the industrial structure upgrading of resource-based cities. Meanwhile, three mediating variables——green technological innovation, financial agglomeration and land resource allocation——are introduced to explore the influencing mechanism of the transformation pilot policy on industrial structure upgrading in resource-based cities. The research findings are as follows: ①the transformation pilot policy exerts a significant driving effect on the industrial structure upgrading of resource-based cities, and the conclusion remains robust after multiple robustness tests. ②Regional heterogeneity analysis reveals that the policy presents distinct heterogeneous effects on industrial structure upgrading of resource-based cities across different regions. It delivers a prominent promotional effect in central, northeastern and western China, while such effect is insignificant in eastern China. ③Mechanism analysis indicates that green technological innovation, financial agglomeration and land resource allocation serve as indirect transmission paths through which the policy facilitates the industrial structure upgrading of resource-based cities. Based on the research conclusions, this paper proposes to establish a long-term support mechanism for the transformation pilot program, strengthen the three major transmission channels of green technological innovation, financial agglomeration and land resource allocation, and implement targeted and regionally differentiated policies, so as to steadily and continuously unleash the policy’s driving effect on the industrial structure upgrading of resource-based cities.

       

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