我国石油资源对社会经济发展需求的保证程度分析
The guarantee degree analysis of chinese petroleum resource to socio-economic development demand
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摘要: 本文运用定量分析与定性分析相结合的方法,从经济增长与石油消耗的长期关系着手,探讨了未来10~15年我国石油资源对社会经济发展需求的保证程度。结果表明,随着经济的发展,尽管国内石油供给将有所提高,但仍然存在巨大缺口,保证度将不断下降。Abstract: This paper utilizes the method which the quantitative analysis and the qualitative analysis unify,Begin from the economic growth and energy consumption's long-term relations,it discussed the future 10-15 year Chinese petroleum resource to the socio-economic development demand guarantee degree. The result indicated that increases freely along with the economical development domestic petroleum supplies, but still had the giant gap, the guarantee will drop unceasingly.
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