美国地质调查局对全球常规石油储量增长的评估

    Assessment of global conventional oil reserves growth from United States Geological Survey

    • 摘要: 在对历年美国地质调查局(USGS)储量增长披露报告研究的基础之上,结合大量文献的研究,证实USGS不同时期的储量增长模型尽管存在夸大储量的缺陷,但仍是全球范围最具权威性的储量增长评估机构,2012年提出新的个体聚集分析模型一定程度上弥补了以往模型夸大储量的缺陷,依据新模型对全球范围内地质储量超过5亿桶的1814个油田及美国55个油田的研究发现,全球常规石油的储量增长为7230亿桶。

       

      Abstract: Based on published reports of oil reserve growth from the United States Geological Survey(USGS),combined with extensive literatures study,it is confirmed that USGS is the most authoritative global reserve growth assessment agency,however,its reserve growth models have some flaws such as exaggerated reserves,and USGS proposed a new model Individual Accumulation Analysis to make up for the deficiency to some extent.According to the new model,Global conventional oil reserve growth is approximately 7230 barrels based on the study of 1814 oil fields which in-place reserves is above 5 billion barrels and 55 oil fields of U.S.

       

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