时滞影响下西部能源结构模型战略调控分析

    The strategical regulation analysis about the Western energy structure model with time delay

    • 摘要: 以西部能源结构为背景,在时滞影响下建立了一个以煤为主导地位、多元化发展油气和其他能源资源的非线性模型。从平衡点的稳定性和Dulac 函数等方面,研究其动力学行为及其战略调控分析。利用主项分析法对平衡点稳定性进行研究,得出了西部能源资源以煤为主、多元化发展油气和其它能源资源的稳定条件,并且提出了相应的能源对策,确保国民经济系统健康、稳定、快速地发展。

       

      Abstract: Taking the western energy structure as background, a non-linear model is established with the influence of time delay, which takes the coal as major resource and petroleum, natural gas and the other energy resources as minor ones. Its dynamic behavior and strategical regulation analysis are studied in this paper from the stability of equilibrium point and Dulac function. By studying the stability of equilibrium points with the main monomial analysis method, a stable condition for the western energy resources is obtained, which takes the coal as major resource and petroleum, natural gas and the other energy resources as minor ones, and the corresponding energy strategy is proposed to maintain a high growth and healthy, stable development of national economy.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回