世界主要煤炭消费国与其国家经济增长GDP关系分析

    The causality relationships analysis of GDP among world main coal consumption countries

    • 摘要: 本文运用协整分析、格兰杰因果关系,检验对世界主要煤炭消费国家(中国、美国、印度、俄罗斯、日本和南非)1981~2005年的煤炭消费与GDP之间因果关系及其内在规律,进行了分析和研究。实证研究结果表明,这些国家能源消费结构、经济政策不同,煤炭消费同经济增长之间的因果关系也不完全一致,据此各国根据自身能源国情及国际比较形势,制定科学的能源战略与政策。

       

      Abstract: In thispaper,With cointegration analysis and Granger causal relation test, the causal relation of coal consumption and GDP of the world main coal consumption countries (China, US, India, Russia, Japan and South Africa) between 1981-2005 has studied in this paper. The conclusions indicate that, the causal relation of coal consumption and economy growth is various as of different energy consumption pattern and economic policy. According to its own energy national condition and the international comparison situation, each country can constitute scientific energy strategies and policies.

       

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