矿产资源开发与利用系统动态仿真模型研究

    ON THE DYNAMIC SIMULATION MODEL OF EXPLOITATION OF MINERAL RESOURCES

    • 摘要: 以研究复杂问题和复杂系统的有效工具——系统动力学(SD)为手段,建立了矿产资源开发与利用系统动态仿真模型。绘制了矿产资源开发与利用系统的因果关系图,根据因果关系图和流图编写了DYNAMO方程。在模型通过理论检验和历史仿真检验后,对某矿区的资源开发与利用系统进行了动态仿真与预测。研究表明,所建立的模型是有效和可信的,能够充分代表现实系统,模型对我国矿区制定正确的发展战略以及促进其持续、协调和可持续发展,都具有理论参考价值和实践指导意义。

       

      Abstract: A Dynamic Simulation Model of the exploitation of mineral resources is set up with the help of SD (system dynamics) which is an effective tool for complicated problems and complex systems. The causal relationship diagram of the exploitation of mineral resources is also drawn, on the basis of which, together with the flow diagram, DYNAMO equations are formed. After theoretical and historical simulation examinations, this model is used to simulate and forecast the exploitation of resources for one mining area. The research shows that the model, simulating adequately the practical conditions, is effective and credible. It will help to elicit correct development strategies for chinese mining areas; Meanwhile, it can, both in theory and practice, facilitate the coordinate and sustainable development for those areas.

       

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