能源价格、碳排放量与经济增长的联动效应研究
Study on the linkage effect among energy prices,carbon emission and economic growth
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摘要: 利用1953~2011年时间序列数据,建立了我国能源价格、碳排放量与经济增长相互关系的实证模型。研究表明,我国能源价格、碳排放量和经济增长之间存在长期均衡关系;能源价格是经济增长的格兰杰原因,经济增长是碳排放量的格兰杰原因;给能源价格一个标准差冲击,对经济增长具有正效应;给经济增长一个标准差冲击,对碳排放量有正效应影响。Abstract: This paper uses 1953-2011time series data and establishs an empirical model of China's energy prices,carbon emission and economic growth.Research shows that a long-term equilibrium relationship exists among China's energy prices,carbon emission and economic growth.The energy price is the Granger reason of the economy growth,economy growth is the Granger reason of carbon emissions.The effect of a standard deviation impact on energy price to economic growth is positive.The effect of a standard deviation impact of economic growth to carbon emission is positive.
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