中国一次能源供应多样性研究
Research of primary energy supply diversity in China
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摘要: 能源供应安全与否已成为制约可持续发展的关键问题,能源供应的多样性是保证能源供应安全的一项重要措施。利用香农-威纳多样性指数(Shannon-Weiner index),计算和分析了中国一次能源供应多样性的变化情况,结果表明,在1991~2005年间,中国一次能源供应多样性指数随着能源供应结构的变化而变化,能源供应比例少的能源品种供应比例的变化起着主要作用;随着能源供应比例少的能源进口量的增加,能源供应的比例趋于均等,能源供应多样性指数显著增加,能源供应结构趋于优化。Abstract: Energy supply security has become one of the key issues that constrain the sustainable development. Energy Supplies diversity is a critical measure to secure the Energy Supply.Calculation and analysis of the change of primary supply diversity of China, using Shannon-Weiner index, have shown that, from 1991 to 2005, the diversity index of primary energy supply in China is changed with the change of the structure of energy supply, the change of the proportion of the energy supply proportion with less proportion plays main role; the increase of the amount of energy import that less with proportion of energy supply, the proportion of energy supply becomes evenness, the diversity index of energy supply increase notably, the structure of energy supply trends to optimizing.
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