基于主成分回归模型的我国能源消费影响因素分析
Analysis of influential factors of energy consumption in china based on principal component regression model
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摘要: 影响我国能源消费的因素有很多,这些因素之间存在较强的相关性。本文通过主成分分析法消除影响因素之间的多重共线性,提取影响能源消费的主要因素,然后与能源消费进行回归分析。研究表明经济发展、能源价格和产业结构是影响能源消费的主要因素,并且由此建立的回归模型具有较好的预测结果。Abstract: There are many factors affecting energy consumption in China.A strong correlation exists in these factors.This paper uses principal component analysis to eliminate multicollinearity of the factors and extracts the main factors affecting energy consumption,and then uses regression model to study the relationship between energy consumption and the main factors.Studies show that economic development, energy prices and industrial structure are the main influence factors of energy consumption in China.The regression model has precise predicted results.
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