我国煤层气产业发展趋势预测

    THE TREND FORECAST OF COAL-BED METHANE INDUSTRY IN CHINA

    • 摘要: 我国煤层气资源较为丰富,但煤层气产业的发展还处于起步阶段。我国煤层气在成煤和煤化作用地质条件与美国有差异,勘探开发有一定特殊性。目前我国基本具备美国20世纪80年代中后期煤层气的勘探开发条件,类比美国煤层气储量、产量增长模式,预测我国煤层气的发展也将经过探索、起步和快速三个阶段。预测2010、2020与2030年煤层气产量将分别达到100×108m3、300×108m3和470×108m3,煤层气将有效地改善我国的能源结构,成为常规能源的必要补充。

       

      Abstract: Coal-bed methane resource in China is rich.But coal-bed methane industry in China is in the growth phase.Exploration and development of coal-bed methane in China has its particularity for its geolog-ical conditions of coal-forming process and coalification are different from the US.At present our country basically meets the exploration and development requirement which the US had in the late 1980s.On the a-nalogy of growth pattern of reserves and production in the US,three phases were forecast for the develop-ment of coal-bed methane industry in China: preparatory phase,starting-up phase and quickly growing up phase.The production of coal-bed methane in 2010,2020 and 2030 was supposed to 100×108m3,300× 108m3 and 470×108m3 individually.Coal-bed methane is going to improve China’s energy structure availa-bly,and become general energy indispensable supplements.

       

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