实物复合期权模型在采矿权定价中的应用
Application of real compound option for pricing mineral right
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摘要: 矿产资源采矿权可以被视为一个按年度划分的复合看涨期权。为了计算采矿权的价值,假定矿产品的价格服从几何布朗运动,在常数波动率的条件下,建立了基于复合期权的矿产资源采矿权定价模型。结合一个铜矿采矿权的实例,对比分析了贴现现金流的方法与复合期权方法的定价结果,发现复合期权定价方法得到的采矿权的价值高于市场的评估价格,即市场存在负溢价现象。这一结论,为矿产企业进行采矿权的投资提供了决策依据。Abstract: Mineral right can be seen as a compound option divided by years. In order to calculate the value of right,build an pricing model based on compound option under the conditions of constant volatility and price followed geometric Brownian motion. Combined with an example of a copper mine mining, analyze the price between the discount cash flow method and the method of compound option. It turns out that the price is higher in the compound option pricing method than in DCF, which means that price premium exists negative phenomenon in the market.This conclusion provides decision-making basis for mining investment of mineral enterprises
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