河北经济增长与环境污染关系的检验
An empirical analysis on the relationship between economic growth and environmental pollution in Hebei
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摘要: 本文根据1991~2012年河北省五类环境污染指标和人均GDP时间序列数据,采用环境库兹涅茨曲线、脉冲响应分析和方差分解方法实证检验了经济增长与环境污染之间的动态关系。研究发现:随着经济快速增长,河北环境质量总体趋于恶化,经济增长加速了环境污染物的排放且持续时间较长,但污染物排放量的增多并没有大幅推动经济增长。经济增长与环境治理之间的博弈是现阶段河北发展面临的最大难题,必须综合利用排污权交易、税收补贴等手段,加快技术革新、优化产业结构,实现经济环境协调发展。Abstract: Based on the time series data of five pollution indices and per capita GDP in Hebei from 1991 to 2012,this paper investigated the interactions between economic growth and environmental pollution through EKC,impulse response functions and variance decomposition.Results indicate:The environment becomes deteriorated with the rapid economic growth of Hebei.The economic growth could push up pollution level for a long time while the growth of pollutant emissions cannot significantly promote the economy.At this stage,the most challenging problem of Hebei economy is the competition between economic growth and environmental management.To solve this problem and realize the coordinated development of economy and environment,we should speed up technical innovation and optimize economic structure using a combination of emission trading and tax subsidies.
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