中国铜需求趋势与消费结构分析

    Copper demand trend and consumption structure in China

    • 摘要: 2000年以来,随着中国工业化和城市化进程加速,铜资源消费迅猛增加。2013年,中国铜消费量983万t,占全球消费总量的47%,对外依存度高达69%。本文采用中国地质科学院创建的人均铜资源消费"S"形规律预测模型,对未来中国铜资源需求进行了初步研究。研究表明:需求峰值期铜资源需求量将达到1400万1600万t,电力仍是最大需求部门。

       

      Abstract: Since 2000,as China's industrialization and urbanization process accelerated,copper resource consumption increases rapidly.In 2013,9.83 million tons of copper is consumed in China,accounting for 47% of global consumption,external dependency is as high as 69%.According to the copper resources per capita consumption law of "S" shape prediction model created by the Chinese academy of geological sciences,China's copper resources for the future demand has been studied.The results show:peak demand will reach 1400-1400 tons of copper resources,and electric power sector is still the biggest demand.

       

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