基于物元模型的海外铁矿资源开发经济环境评价研究

    Macroeconomic environment assessment for overseas iron ore investment based on matter element model

    • 摘要: 随着我国经济和钢铁工业的快速发展,对铁矿资源的需求日趋加大,合理开发与利用海外铁矿资源已经越来越重要,而对国别宏观经济环境进行评价则具有非常重要的意义。本文首先确定了海外铁矿资源开发经济环境评价的主要国家;其次,对影响经济环境的主要因素进行了识别,运用德尔菲法确立了评价指标体系和权重;再次,建立了物元评价模型,确定了节域和经典域并计算出关联度和综合关联度;最后,对14个国家宏观经济环境等级进行了划分,评价结果与实际较为符合。

       

      Abstract: China has an increasing demand for iron ore resource with the rapid development of the economy and the steel industry,so developing overseas iron ore is badly needed.It has an important significance to evaluate the macroeconomic environment for overseas iron ore development.Firstly,the paper determined the countries which would be evaluated;secondly,identified the main factors influencing the macroeconomic environment,established an assessment index system and determined the weight of each index by the Delphi method;thirdly,built a matter element evaluation model,established the sutra field and controlled field,and then calculated out the relating degree of the model;finally,classified the macroeconomic environment for the 14countries,which showed the evaluation results are very well.

       

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